Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Isuzu Motors Ltd $22.22, price $12.87, upside +72.7%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.65 – $17.93 · fair‑value band $12.03 – $30.74 · the $12.87 price screens below the $22.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Isuzu Motors Limited manufactures and sells commercial vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and diesel engines and components worldwide. The company offers heavy and medium-duty trucks and buses, and light-duty trucks; pickup vehicles, pickup trucks, and SUVs; and marine and industrial engines.
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Isuzu Motors Limited manufactures and sells commercial vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and diesel engines and components worldwide. The company offers heavy and medium-duty trucks and buses, and light-duty trucks; pickup vehicles, pickup trucks, and SUVs; and marine and industrial engines. The company also supplies diesel engines to manufacturers in various fields, including construction machinery, agricultural equipment, power generators, and commercial vessels. In addition, it provides after-sales services; repair services for commercial vehicles and buses; and commercial vehicle leasing and maintenance contract services. Further, the company manufactures automobile parts and engines. Additionally, it engages in the import, wholesale, supply, and export of vehicles and components and parts; and logistics management activities, as well as import, assembly, and wholesale of pickup trucks and derivatives. Isuzu Motors Limited was formerly known as Diesel Automobile Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Isuzu Motors Limited in July 1949. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.
Stock analysis
Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY) currently trades at $12.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.22, implying the stock looks roughly 42.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $26.43 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the $12.87 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $9.18, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $12.03 (bear) to $30.74 (bull), the price of $12.87 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Isuzu Motors Ltd reported revenue of ¥3.7T in FY2026 versus ¥2.5T in FY2022, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥143B in FY2026, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $9.6B · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) $1.23 · Dividend yield 4.1% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 73%, ISUZY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $12.03Fair Value $22.22Bull $30.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+158.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.7% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.6% vs 4.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.0% a year for the price and +1.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (25 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+65.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.6% · Above median
Return on assets3.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.37× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
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Is Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.22 versus a price of $12.87, about +73% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ISUZY?
Our model-based fair value for Isuzu Motors Ltd is $22.22 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.87.
What is the quality score of ISUZY?
Isuzu Motors Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.22 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.03, optimistic scenario $30.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Isuzu Motors Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.22, about +73% upside versus a price of $12.87 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $12.03, optimistic scenario $30.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
Isuzu Motors Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥3.5T (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Isuzu Motors Ltd pay a dividend?
Isuzu Motors Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Isuzu Motors Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +6.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.1 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ISUZY use?
Our models discount Isuzu Motors Ltd at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Isuzu Motors Ltd that is +6.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Isuzu Motors Ltd grew +14.1 % a year. The price currently implies +6.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Isuzu Motors Ltd (+6.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.37 %: that much free cash flow Isuzu Motors Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Isuzu Motors Ltd it is $22.22 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $12.87. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Isuzu Motors Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, ISUZY trades below its calculated fair value: price $12.87, fair value $22.22, a gap of about +73% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ISUZY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.87); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.22). For Isuzu Motors Ltd the two are $9.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Isuzu Motors Ltd worth?
The market values Isuzu Motors Ltd at about $9.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $12.87; our models calculate a fair value of $22.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ISUZY?
Our models span a range for Isuzu Motors Ltd: cautious scenario $12.03, base $22.22, optimistic $30.74 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $12.87). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ISUZY?
Isuzu Motors Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $22.22 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Isuzu Motors Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 11.6%, debt of 0.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ISUZY from its 52-week high?
Isuzu Motors Ltd trades at $12.87, about 28% below its 52-week high of $17.93 and 11% above the low of $11.61 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Isuzu Motors Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Isuzu Motors Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $12.87, calculated fair value $22.22 (+73%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ISUZY calculated?
We run Isuzu Motors Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $22.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Isuzu Motors Ltd currently trades 42 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $12.87. Our model-based fair value is $22.22, about +73% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Isuzu Motors Ltd right now?
Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($12.03 to $30.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY) come from?
Earnings per share at Isuzu Motors Ltd grew +5.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.4 %, EBIT margin −1.9 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Isuzu Motors Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
The market capitalisation of Isuzu Motors Ltd is $9.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Isuzu Motors Ltd is 0.41 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
Earnings per share at Isuzu Motors Ltd are $1.23 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
The dividend yield of Isuzu Motors Ltd is 4.1% (payout 42.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
The net margin of Isuzu Motors Ltd is 3.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Isuzu Motors Ltd is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Isuzu Motors Ltd is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
The operating margin of Isuzu Motors Ltd is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
Revenue at Isuzu Motors Ltd is growing +6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY)?
Earnings per share at Isuzu Motors Ltd are growing +27.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Isuzu Motors Ltd (ISUZY) carry?
The net debt of Isuzu Motors Ltd is ¥483B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 5.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 28, 2026