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Hyundai Motor Company (005380) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 111T KRW

HM Hyundai Motor Company 005380 · KO
Price400,000 KRW
Fair Value447,495 KRW
Upside+11.9%
Quality33/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.6% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.30% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range 335,621 KRW – 559,368 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 793,325 KRW to 447,495 KRW (−43.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −16.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 335,621 KRW (bear) to 559,368 KRW (bull), base 447,495 KRW. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 33/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

750,000 KRW 129,660 KRW Fair Value 447,495 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 129,660 KRW – 750,000 KRW · fair‑value band 335,621 KRW – 559,368 KRW · the 400,000 KRW price screens below the 447,495 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hyundai Motor Company (005380) currently trades at 400,000 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 447,495 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hyundai Motor Company generated revenue of 188T KRW at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 157T KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 335,621 KRW (bear case) to 559,368 KRW (bull case); at 400,000 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 12%, 005380 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 377,842 KRW 409,213 KRW 515,159 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 1,922 KRW 72
Gordon GGM 136,319 KRW 297,607 KRW 500,736 KRW 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 246,767 KRW 805,462 KRW 1,076,196 KRW 54
Lynch FV 180,358 KRW 257,654 KRW 334,950 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 180,358 KRW 257,654 KRW 334,950 KRW 46
EPV 1,922 KRW 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 136,319 KRW 297,607 KRW 500,736 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 136,319 KRW 234,909 KRW 310,154 KRW 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 544,340 KRW 725,786 KRW 907,233 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 462,689 KRW 616,918 KRW 771,148 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 462,689 KRW 616,918 KRW 771,148 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 161,109 KRW 359,365 KRW 557,621 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 183,799 KRW 389,619 KRW 595,438 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 139,080 KRW 310,902 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 221,760 KRW 297,158 KRW 443,519 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 377,842 KRW 409,213 KRW 515,159 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 1,922 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 460,243 KRW 657,490 KRW 854,737 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (657,490 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (234,909 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 188T KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net margin 4.6%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow −17.1T KRW FY2025
Operating margin 5.5%
More key figures
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -26.3%
Net debt 157T KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hyundai Motor Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes motor vehicles and parts worldwide. The company operates through Vehicle, Finance, and Others segments.

Full company description

Hyundai Motor Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes motor vehicles and parts worldwide. The company operates through Vehicle, Finance, and Others segments. It offers cars under the ELANTRA, SONATA, AZERA, i30, ACCENT, i20, and i10 names; eco vehicles under the IONIQ 9, INSTER, IONIQ 5, IONIQ 6, KONA Electric, NEXO, TUCSON Hybrid, SANTA FE Hybrid, SONATA Hybrid, AZERA Hybrid, i30 Hybrid, and STARIA Hybrid names; SUVs under the TUCSON, SANTA FE, KONA, PALISADE, CRETA, and VENUE names; and MPVs under the STARIA name; and commercial vehicles under the STARIA, H-1, and H-100 names, as well as N series and N Line series vehicles under various names. The company also provides trucks and vans; vehicle financing, credit card processing, and other financing activities; train manufacturing services and other activities; and marketing, engineering, transport, mobility, logistics, and insurance services, as well as operates a football club. Further, it is involved in real estate development activities. Hyundai Motor Company was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hyundai Motor Company reported revenue of 186T KRW in FY2025 versus 118T KRW in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 9.4T KRW in FY2025, compounding +17.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
186T KRW
Latest YoY
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+7.2%
Revenue +12.2%/yr
FY21 118T KRW
FY22 143T KRW
FY23 163T KRW
FY24 175T KRW
FY25 186T KRW
Net income +17.6%/yr
FY21 4.9T KRW
FY22 7.4T KRW
FY23 12.0T KRW
FY24 12.5T KRW
FY25 9.4T KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hyundai Motor Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/005380

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.14× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 49 · sector 26
FUTURE 17 · sector 32
PAST 30 · sector 17
HEALTH 43 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 46

Insider activity: 22/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $179.76 $224.63 +25%
BYD Company 81211 HK$80.55 HK$50.85 -37%
General Motors Company GM $77.72 $56.93 -27%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 2,944 MXN +54%
Ferrari N.V RACE $376.64 $228.05 -39%
Ford Motor Company F C$11.86 C$4.00 -66%
Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ C$20.44 C$35.15 +72%
Volkswagen AG VOW 2,149 CZK 7,191 CZK +235%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹13,803 ₹8,236 -40%
Kia Corporation 000270 145,000 KRW 350,994 KRW +142%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hyundai Motor Company (005380) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 447,495 KRW versus a price of 400,000 KRW, about +12% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 005380?
Our model-based fair value for Hyundai Motor Company is 447,495 KRW (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 400,000 KRW.
What is the quality score of 005380?
Hyundai Motor Company has a Quality Score of 33/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hyundai Motor Company (005380)?
Hyundai Motor Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 188T KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 005380?
The net profit margin of Hyundai Motor Company is about 4.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hyundai Motor Company pay a dividend?
Hyundai Motor Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.43% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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