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Mesoblast Limited (MESO) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.9B

ML Mesoblast Limited logo Mesoblast Limited MESO · US
Price$15.38
Fair Value$20.80
Upside+35.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $15.60 – $25.99

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −12.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$23.83 $11.88 Fair Value $20.80 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $11.88 – $23.83 · fair‑value band $15.60 – $25.99 · the $15.38 price screens below the $20.80 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) currently trades at $15.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.80 — implying the stock looks roughly 35.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $65.4M. It earns a return on equity of -18.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $33.0M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $65.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1,527%
Net margin -144%
Return on equity -18.2%
Free cash flow −$50.7M FY2025
Operating margin -55.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.6800
Net cash $33.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Mesoblast Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of regenerative medicine products in Australia, the United States, Singapore, and Switzerland. The company's proprietary regenerative medicine technology platform is based on specialized cells known as mesenchymal lineage cells. It offers Remestemcel-L, which is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of systemic inflammatory diseases, including steroid refractory acute graft versus host disease and biologic refractory inflammatory bowel disease, as well as ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease; and Remestemcel-L, which is in Phase III clinical trials to treat chronic heart failure and chronic low back pain due to degenerative disc disease. The company is also developing MPC-300-IV to treat biologic refractory rheumatoid arthritis diabetic nephropathy. It has strategic partnerships with Tasly Pharmaceutical Group to offer MPC-150-IM for the treatment or prevention of chronic heart failure; MPC-25-I…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mesoblast Limited reported revenue of $17.2M in FY2025 versus $7.5M in FY2021, a compound +23.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$102M in FY2025.

Revenue +23.2%/yr
FY21 $7.5M
FY22 $10.2M
FY23 $7.5M
FY24 $5.9M
FY25 $17.2M
Net income
FY21 −$98.8M
FY22 −$91.3M
FY23 −$81.9M
FY24 −$88.0M
FY25 −$102M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mesoblast Limited (MESO) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.80 versus a price of $15.38 — about +35% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MESO?
Our 21-model fair value for Mesoblast Limited is $20.80 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.38.
What is the quality score of MESO?
Mesoblast Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Mesoblast Limited (MESO)?
Mesoblast Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $65.4M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MESO?
The net profit margin of Mesoblast Limited is about -144.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.