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MTLN (MTLN) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · GR · Market cap €5.9B

M MTLN MTLN · AT
Price€42.30
Fair Value€34.07
Upside-19.5%
Quality90/100
Evidence: Medium Range €23.85 – €44.30

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −2.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (11 months)

€57.80 €33.75 Fair Value €34.07 Jul 2025 Jun 2026

11‑month range €33.75 – €57.80 · fair‑value band €23.85 – €44.30 · the €42.30 price screens above the €34.07 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

MTLN (MTLN) currently trades at €42.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €34.07 — implying the stock looks roughly 19.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 90/100 (high quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, MTLN generated revenue of €7.1B at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at €3.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €7.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.3%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow −€242M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.7
More key figures
Operating margin -1.6%
EPS (TTM) €2.20
EPS growth (YoY) -82.0%
Net debt €3.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MTLN reported revenue of €7.1B in FY2025 versus €6.3B in FY2022, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was €314M in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY22 €6.3B
FY23 €5.5B
FY24 €5.7B
FY25 €7.1B
Net income −12.3%/yr
FY22 €466M
FY23 €623M
FY24 €615M
FY25 €314M

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Frequently asked questions

Is MTLN (MTLN) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €34.07 versus a price of €42.30 — about −19% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MTLN?
Our 21-model fair value for MTLN is €34.07 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €42.30.
What is the quality score of MTLN?
MTLN has a Quality Score of 90/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of MTLN (MTLN)?
MTLN reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €7.1B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MTLN?
The net profit margin of MTLN is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.