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Sempra Energy (SRE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Sempra Energy is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · US · ISIN US8168511090

SE Sempra Energy logo Some data Sep 18, 2026

Sempra Energy

SRE · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $43.35 · Strongly overvalued (−47%)
!Quality 43/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +5.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 14.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·3.18% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Moderate moat 59/100
!Insider activity 44/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$99.04 $51.59 Fair Value $43.35 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $51.59 – $99.04 · fair‑value band $30.34 – $55.71 · the $81.31 price screens above the $43.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Sempra engages in the regulated utilities business in the United States and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure. It also invests in and operates electric and gas utilities and other energy infrastructure that provides energy services to customers.

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Sempra engages in the regulated utilities business in the United States and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure. It also invests in and operates electric and gas utilities and other energy infrastructure that provides energy services to customers. The Sempra California segment provides natural gas and electric services to Southern California and part of central California. As of December 31, 2025, it offered electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles. This segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas. As of December 31, 2025, it served a population of 21.3 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles. The Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated electricity transmission and distribution utility business. As of December 31, 2025, transmission system included approximately 18,418 circuit miles of transmission lines; 1,333 transmission and distribution substations; interconnection to 230 third-party generation facilities totaling 63,670 MW; and distribution system included more than 4.1 million points of delivery and consisted of 127,398 circuit miles of overhead and underground lines. The Sempra Infrastructure segment develops, constructs, operates, and invests in energy infrastructure to help enable the access to cleaner energy in markets in the United States, Mexico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in May 2023. Sempra was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Stock analysis

Sempra Energy (SRE) currently trades at $81.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.35, implying the stock looks roughly 87.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $44.64 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $81.31 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $14.39, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $30.34 (bear) to $55.71 (bull), the price of $81.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sempra Energy reported revenue of $13.7B in FY2025 versus $13.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8B in FY2025, compounding +8.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $60.9B · P/E ratio 27.6 · P/S ratio 3.69 · EPS (TTM) $2.94 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −47%, SRE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $30.34 Fair Value $43.35 Bull $55.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2556 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $38.35 $39.81 $40.27 74
EPV n/a n/a $4.47 68
ROIC Compounder n/a n/a $4.47 65
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $19.11 $51.49 $67.42 63
Lynch FV $10.07 $14.39 $18.70 59
PEG = 1.0 $10.07 $14.39 $18.70 55
EPV n/a n/a $4.47 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $23.08 $47.98 $76.12 64
DDM Multi-Stage $23.08 $35.94 $49.63 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $37.94 $50.58 $63.23 63
P/S Multiple $35.83 $47.77 $59.72 58
P/B Multiple $35.83 $47.77 $59.72 55
EV/EBIT $11.66 $30.32 $48.98 61
EV/EBITDA $22.40 $44.64 $66.88 64
EV/Revenue n/a $8.11 $23.84 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.18 $32.40 $48.36 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $38.35 $39.81 $40.27 74
ROIC Compounder n/a n/a $4.47 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $30.34 $43.35 $56.35 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−0.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs 1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 24%

SRE screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Diversified · 52 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.92× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.93× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.49× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 16.0× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.83× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 6
PAST (return on equity)23 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)54 · sector 48
DIVIDEND (yield)64 · sector 79

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €20.24 €8.00 −60%
Enel SpA ENEL €8.90 €3.71 −58%
Engie SA ENGI €24.25 €20.64 −15%
E.ON SE EOAN €17.78 €9.09 −49%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE €60.62 €47.21 −22%
ACWA Power Company 2082 181.50 SAR 27.47 SAR −85%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$51.08 C$59.52 +17%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €68.40 €21.11 −69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.85 €3.81 −21%
Origin Energy Limited ORG A$11.74 A$7.70 −34%

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Sempra Energy · Fair Value
$43.35 −88%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sempra Energy Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SRE

Frequently asked questions

Is Sempra Energy (SRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $43.35 versus a price of $81.31, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SRE?
Our model-based fair value for Sempra Energy is $43.35 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $81.31.
What is the quality score of SRE?
Sempra Energy has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $43.35 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $30.34, optimistic scenario $55.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sempra Energy stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $43.35, about −47% upside versus a price of $81.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $30.34, optimistic scenario $55.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Sempra Energy reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Sempra Energy pay a dividend?
Sempra Energy currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sempra Energy it is $43.35 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $81.31. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sempra Energy stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, SRE trades above its calculated fair value: price $81.31, fair value $43.35, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SRE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($81.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($43.35). For Sempra Energy the two are $37.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sempra Energy worth?
The market values Sempra Energy at about $60.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $81.31; our models calculate a fair value of $43.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SRE?
Our models span a range for Sempra Energy: cautious scenario $30.34, base $43.35, optimistic $55.71 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $81.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SRE?
Sempra Energy trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.6 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $43.35 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.9, P/S 4.5, EV/EBITDA 16.0.
What is the PEG ratio of SRE?
The PEG ratio of Sempra Energy is 0.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sempra Energy (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 5.7%, debt of 0.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SRE from its 52-week high?
Sempra Energy trades at $81.31, about 20% below its 52-week high of $101.04 and 15% above the low of $70.90 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $43.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sempra Energy?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, Engie SA, E.ON SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sempra Energy stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $81.31, calculated fair value $43.35 (−47%), Quality Score 43/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SRE calculated?
We run Sempra Energy through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $43.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sempra Energy itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $81.31. Our model-based fair value is $43.35, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sempra Energy right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($55.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($30.34 to $55.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sempra Energy (SRE) come from?
Earnings per share at Sempra Energy grew +5.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.6 %, EBIT margin +2.2 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Sempra Energy

How large is the market capitalisation of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The market capitalisation of Sempra Energy is $60.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sempra Energy is 3.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Earnings per share at Sempra Energy are $2.94 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The dividend yield of Sempra Energy is 3.2% (payout 88.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The net margin of Sempra Energy is 13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sempra Energy is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sempra Energy is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sempra Energy (SRE)?
The operating margin of Sempra Energy is 30.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Revenue at Sempra Energy is growing −3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sempra Energy (SRE)?
Earnings per share at Sempra Energy are growing +13.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sempra Energy (SRE) generate?
The free cash flow of Sempra Energy is −$6.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sempra Energy (SRE) carry?
The net debt of Sempra Energy is $36.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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