Sempra (SRE) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $60.9B
Sempra
SRE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −10.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($59.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $51.59 – $99.04 · fair‑value band $35.83 – $59.72 · the $84.35 price screens above the $47.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Sempra (SRE) currently trades at $84.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.77, implying the stock looks roughly 43.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sempra generated revenue of $13.6B at a net margin of 14.4%. Revenue declined 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at $36.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $35.83 (bear case) to $59.72 (bull case); at $84.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -43%, SRE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($47.77) versus Earnings-Based ($14.39). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sempra engages in the regulated utilities business in the United States and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure. It also invests in and operates electric and gas utilities and other energy infrastructure that provides energy services to customers.
Full company description
Sempra engages in the regulated utilities business in the United States and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure. It also invests in and operates electric and gas utilities and other energy infrastructure that provides energy services to customers. The Sempra California segment provides natural gas and electric services to Southern California and part of central California. As of December 31, 2025, it offered electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles. This segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas. As of December 31, 2025, it served a population of 21.3 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles. The Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated electricity transmission and distribution utility business. As of December 31, 2025, transmission system included approximately 18,418 circuit miles of transmission lines; 1,333 transmission and distribution substations; interconnection to 230 third-party generation facilities totaling 63,670 MW; and distribution system included more than 4.1 million points of delivery and consisted of 127,398 circuit miles of overhead and underground lines. The Sempra Infrastructure segment develops, constructs, operates, and invests in energy infrastructure to help enable the access to cleaner energy in markets in the United States, Mexico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in May 2023. Sempra was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sempra reported revenue of $13.7B in FY2025 versus $13.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8B in FY2025, compounding +8.7%/yr from FY2021.
SRE screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Sempra (SRE) Stock Trades At A Premium Near Fair Value
- Does Sempra’s (SRE) Earnings Beat Obsession Obscure Its Long‑Term Risk‑Reward Profile?
- Sempra (SRE) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
Peer Group
Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 86/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iberdrola, S.A IBE | €21.25 | €9.34 | -56% |
| Enel SpA ENEL | €10.28 | €5.83 | -43% |
| Engie SA 1ENGI | €27.14 | €21.32 | -21% |
| E.ON SE EOAN | €19.34 | €11.71 | -39% |
| RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE | €56.66 | €29.64 | -48% |
| ACWA Power Company 2082 | 198.20 SAR | 25.38 SAR | -87% |
| Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN | C$55.05 | C$17.66 | -68% |
| EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK | €69.00 | €21.11 | -69% |
| EDP, S.A EDP | €4.41 | €3.81 | -14% |
| Origin Energy Limited ORG | A$10.38 | A$10.36 | -0% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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