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National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $2.9B

NH National HealthCare Corporation logo National HealthCare Corporation NHC · US
Price$199.54
Fair Value$168.98
Upside-15.3%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $113.64 – $211.30

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $166.97 to $168.98 (+1.2%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +11.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$199.74 $90.12 Fair Value $168.98 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $90.12 – $199.74 · fair‑value band $113.64 – $211.30 · the $199.54 price screens above the $168.98 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) currently trades at $199.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $168.98 — implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, National HealthCare Corporation generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $23.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.2%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 12.0%
Free cash flow $149M FY2025
P/E ratio 24.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.5%
EPS (TTM) $7.87
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.7%
Net cash $23.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

National HealthCare Corporation engages in the operation of services to skilled nursing facilities, assisted and independent living facilities, homecare and hospice agencies, and health hospitals. It operates through two segments: Inpatient and Homecare and Hospice Services. The company's skilled nursing facilities offer licensed therapy services, nutrition services, social services, activities, and housekeeping and laundry services, as well as medical services prescribed by physicians; and rehabilitative services, such as physical, speech, respiratory, and occupational therapy for patients recovering from strokes, heart attacks, orthopedic conditions, neurological illnesses, or other illnesses, injuries, or disabilities. It provides medical specialty units comprise memory care units and sub-acute nursing units that provide specialized care and programs for persons with Alzheimer's or related disorders; and assisted living facilities offer personal care services and assistance with …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

National HealthCare Corporation reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was $120M in FY2025, compounding −3.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +10.6%/yr
FY21 $1.0B
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income −3.5%/yr
FY21 $139M
FY22 $22.4M
FY23 $66.8M
FY24 $102M
FY25 $120M

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Similar stocks

6 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc H1CA34 R$96.00 R$25.67 -73%
Fresenius SE FSNUY $11.47 $8.55 -25%
5225 5225 8.71 MYR 4.87 MYR -44%
IHHHF IHHHF $1.71 $1.17 -32%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $178.75 $300.86 +68%
Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 R$33.83 R$46.94 +39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $168.98 versus a price of $199.54 — about −15% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NHC?
Our 21-model fair value for National HealthCare Corporation is $168.98 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $199.54.
What is the quality score of NHC?
National HealthCare Corporation has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of National HealthCare Corporation (NHC)?
National HealthCare Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NHC?
The net profit margin of National HealthCare Corporation is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does National HealthCare Corporation pay a dividend?
National HealthCare Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.