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NiSource Inc (NI) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $22.0B

NI NiSource Inc logo NiSource Inc NI · US
Price$47.26
Fair Value$28.59
Upside-39.5%
Quality86/100
Evidence: Medium Range $20.01 – $37.17

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $20.56 to $28.59 (+39.1%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +4.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$48.17 $37.28 Fair Value $28.59 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $37.28 – $48.17 · fair‑value band $20.01 – $37.17 · the $47.26 price screens above the $28.59 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

NiSource Inc (NI) currently trades at $47.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.59 — implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 86/100 (high quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, NiSource Inc generated revenue of $6.8B at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at $16.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.2%
Net margin 14.1%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow −$420M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.8
More key figures
Operating margin 34.8%
EPS (TTM) $2.01
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.0%
Net debt $16.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

NiSource Inc., an energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. The company provides natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through approximately 37,300 miles of distribution main pipeline and the associated individual customer service lines; and 310 miles of transmission main pipeline in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland. It also generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 0.5 million customers in various counties in the northern part of Indiana, as well as engages in wholesale electric and transmission transactions. It owns and operates steam coal generating stations in Wheatfield and Michigan City; combined cycle gas turbine in West Terre Haute; natural gas generating units in Wheatfield; hydro generating plants in Carroll County and White County; wind generating units in White …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NiSource Inc reported revenue of $6.6B in FY2025 versus $4.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $930M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 $4.9B
FY22 $5.9B
FY23 $5.5B
FY24 $5.5B
FY25 $6.6B
Net income +12.3%/yr
FY21 $585M
FY22 $804M
FY23 $714M
FY24 $760M
FY25 $930M

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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Naturgy Energy Group GASNY $6.36 $7.15 +12%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $169.27 $87.09 -49%
Snam S.p.A SRG €6.25 €4.39 -30%
Uniper SE UN0 €45.45 €33.83 -26%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company HOKCY $0.8100 $0.6500 -20%
Tokyo Gas Co TKGSF $39.85 $65.41 +64%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NiSource Inc (NI) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.59 versus a price of $47.26 — about −40% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NI?
Our 21-model fair value for NiSource Inc is $28.59 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $47.26.
What is the quality score of NI?
NiSource Inc has a Quality Score of 86/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of NiSource Inc (NI)?
NiSource Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.8B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NI?
The net profit margin of NiSource Inc is about 14.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NiSource Inc pay a dividend?
NiSource Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.89% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.