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Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $58.4B

OP Occidental Petroleum Corporation logo Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY · US
Price$52.23
Fair Value$30.68
Upside-41.3%
Quality51/100
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Evidence: High Range $19.16 – $41.68

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −17.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$70.74 $41.37 Fair Value $30.68 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $41.37 – $70.74 · fair‑value band $19.16 – $41.68 · the $52.23 price screens above the $30.68 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) currently trades at $52.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.68 — implying the stock looks roughly 41.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Occidental Petroleum Corporation generated revenue of $21.1B at a net margin of 22.4%. Revenue declined 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at $22.0B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $21.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.3%
Net margin 22.4%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow $4.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 79.3
More key figures
Operating margin 17.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.7400
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +316%
Net debt $22.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. This segment also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Occidental Petroleum Corporation reported revenue of $21.6B in FY2025 versus $26.0B in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was $2.4B in FY2025, compounding +0.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −4.5%/yr
FY21 $26.0B
FY22 $36.3B
FY23 $28.3B
FY24 $27.1B
FY25 $21.6B
Net income +0.6%/yr
FY21 $2.3B
FY22 $13.2B
FY23 $4.7B
FY24 $3.0B
FY25 $2.4B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥30.54 ¥28.25 -7%
COP COP $119.23 $81.69 -31%
COPH34 COPH34 R$50.30 R$38.44 -24%
YCP YCP €104.24 €77.33 -26%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $45.52 $70.50 +55%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $132.83 $162.51 +22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.68 versus a price of $52.23 — about −41% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of OXY?
Our model-based fair value for Occidental Petroleum Corporation is $30.68 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $52.23.
What is the quality score of OXY?
Occidental Petroleum Corporation has a Quality Score of 51/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)?
Occidental Petroleum Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.1B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OXY?
The net profit margin of Occidental Petroleum Corporation is about 22.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Occidental Petroleum Corporation pay a dividend?
Occidental Petroleum Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.64% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.