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Penumbra, Inc (PEN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $12.6B

PI Penumbra, Inc logo Penumbra, Inc PEN · US
Price$317.63
Fair Value$80.96
Upside-74.5%
Quality70/100
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Evidence: High Range $60.51 – $129.82

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $136.02 to $80.96 (−40.5%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −0.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$358.34 $224.87 Fair Value $80.96 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $224.87 – $358.34 · fair‑value band $60.51 – $129.82 · the $317.63 price screens above the $80.96 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Penumbra, Inc (PEN) currently trades at $317.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $80.96 — implying the stock looks roughly 74.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Penumbra, Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 15.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. Net debt stands at $32.8M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.6%
Net margin 11.8%
Return on equity 12.7%
Free cash flow $175M FY2025
P/E ratio 74.0
More key figures
Operating margin 10.2%
EPS (TTM) $4.33
EPS growth (YoY) -18.0%
Net debt $32.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Penumbra, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and markets medical devices in the United States and internationally. It offers computer-assisted vacuum thrombectomy; peripheral thrombectomy products, including the Indigo System for power aspiration of thrombus in the body; Lightning Flash, a mechanical thrombectomy system; Lightning Bolt 7, an arterial thrombectomy system; and CAT RX. It also provides access products, including guide catheters and the Penumbra distal delivery catheters under the Neuron, Neuron MAX, BENCHMARK, BMX, DDC, Access25; MIDWAY, and PX SLIM brands; Penumbra System, an integrated mechanical thrombectomy system comprising reperfusion catheters and separators, the 3D Revascularization device, aspiration tubing, aspiration pump, and other components and accessories under the Penumbra RED, SENDit, JET, ACE, BMX, Max, 3D Revascularization Device, and Penumbra ENGINE brands; and neuro embolization coiling systems that include the …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Penumbra, Inc reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $748M in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was $178M in FY2025, compounding +186.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +17.1%/yr
FY21 $748M
FY22 $847M
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.4B
Net income +186.9%/yr
FY21 $2.6M
FY22 −$2.0M
FY23 $91.0M
FY24 $14.0M
FY25 $178M

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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6 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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Abbott Laboratories, ABTT34 R$37.76 R$6.34 -83%
Stryker Corporation S1YK34 R$79.18 R$43.78 -45%
Medtronic plc MDT $80.25 $74.40 -7%
Boston Scientific Corporation B1SX34 R$247.01 R$234.82 -5%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Penumbra, Inc (PEN) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $80.96 versus a price of $317.63 — about −75% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of PEN?
Our model-based fair value for Penumbra, Inc is $80.96 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $317.63.
What is the quality score of PEN?
Penumbra, Inc has a Quality Score of 70/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Penumbra, Inc (PEN)?
Penumbra, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PEN?
The net profit margin of Penumbra, Inc is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.