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Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $107B

SC Starbucks Corporation logo Starbucks Corporation SBUX · US
Price$101.05
Fair Value$35.83
Upside-64.5%
Quality61/100
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Evidence: High Range $21.89 – $44.79

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +9.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$103.52 $74.57 Fair Value $35.83 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $74.57 – $103.52 · fair‑value band $21.89 – $44.79 · the $101.05 price screens above the $35.83 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) currently trades at $101.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.83 — implying the stock looks roughly 64.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Starbucks Corporation generated revenue of $38.5B at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $23.4B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 71.9. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $38.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.8%
Net margin 3.9%
Free cash flow $2.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 71.9
Operating margin 8.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $1.31
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +32.6%
Net debt $23.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Starbucks Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Its stores offer coffee, tea, and other beverages, roasted whole beans and ground coffees, complementary food, packaged coffees, single-serve products, and ready-to-drink beverages; and various food products, such as pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. The company also licenses its trademarks through licensed stores, and grocery and foodservice accounts. The company offers its products under the Starbucks Coffee, Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Ethos, and Starbucks Reserve brands. Starbucks Corporation was founded in 1971 and is based in Seattle, Washington.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Starbucks Corporation reported revenue of $37.2B in FY2025 versus $29.1B in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2025, compounding −18.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +6.4%/yr
FY21 $29.1B
FY22 $32.3B
FY23 $36.0B
FY24 $36.2B
FY25 $37.2B
Net income −18.5%/yr
FY21 $4.2B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $4.1B
FY24 $3.8B
FY25 $1.9B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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Compass Group CMPGF $32.63 $24.90 -24%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMGS C$12.49 C$6.55 -48%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $150.87 $71.29 -53%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $72.66 $34.01 -53%
Restaurant Brands International Limited RSTRF $77.57 $49.50 -36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.83 versus a price of $101.05 — about −65% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SBUX?
Our model-based fair value for Starbucks Corporation is $35.83 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $101.05.
What is the quality score of SBUX?
Starbucks Corporation has a Quality Score of 61/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)?
Starbucks Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $38.5B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SBUX?
The net profit margin of Starbucks Corporation is about 3.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Starbucks Corporation pay a dividend?
Starbucks Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.