Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Shivansh Finserve Ltd ₹8.89, price ₹10.64, upside -16.5%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.4600 – ₹15.45 · fair‑value band ₹7.24 – ₹11.11 · the ₹10.64 price screens above the ₹8.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA) currently trades at ₹10.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹8.89, 16.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹69.45 per share, and 4 of the 8 models we run sit above the ₹10.64 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹5.68, and 4 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹7.24 (bear) to ₹11.11 (bull), the price of ₹10.64 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Shivansh Finserve Ltd reported revenue of ₹26.5M in FY2025 versus ₹4.8B in FY2021, a compound −72.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹4.3M in FY2025, compounding −61.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹66.4M (≈ $689K) · P/E ratio 15.6 · P/S ratio 2.52 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.6800 · Net margin 16.1% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% · Operating margin −227%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −16%, SHIVA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹7.24Fair Value ₹8.89Bull ₹11.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.5142 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−99.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−81.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−62.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−42.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−40.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−40.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−40.9% vs −17.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2016 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 19%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.5%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Diversified Financial Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Financials · 3139 stocks
Beats the sector median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+91.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.4% · Below median
Return on assets1.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)16.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth91.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.43× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Financials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹8.89 versus a price of ₹10.64, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHIVA?
Our model-based fair value for Shivansh Finserve Ltd is ₹8.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹10.64.
What is the quality score of SHIVA?
Shivansh Finserve Ltd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹8.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹7.24, optimistic scenario ₹11.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shivansh Finserve Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹8.89, about −16% upside versus a price of ₹10.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹7.24, optimistic scenario ₹11.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
Shivansh Finserve Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹26.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shivansh Finserve Ltd it is ₹8.89 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹10.64. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shivansh Finserve Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SHIVA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹10.64, fair value ₹8.89, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHIVA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹10.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹8.89). For Shivansh Finserve Ltd the two are ₹1.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shivansh Finserve Ltd worth?
The market values Shivansh Finserve Ltd at about ₹66.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹10.64; our models calculate a fair value of ₹8.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHIVA?
Our models span a range for Shivansh Finserve Ltd: cautious scenario ₹7.24, base ₹8.89, optimistic ₹11.11 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹10.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SHIVA?
Shivansh Finserve Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹8.89 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 17.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shivansh Finserve Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHIVA from its 52-week high?
Shivansh Finserve Ltd trades at ₹10.64, about 31% below its 52-week high of ₹15.45 and 72% above the low of ₹6.19 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹8.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shivansh Finserve Ltd?
From the same area (Financials) we also value Banas Finance Limited, HARYNACAP, Mukesh Babu Financial Services Limited, JINDCAP, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shivansh Finserve Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹10.64, calculated fair value ₹8.89 (−16%), Quality Score 70/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHIVA calculated?
We run Shivansh Finserve Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹8.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shivansh Finserve Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹10.64. Our model-based fair value is ₹8.89, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shivansh Finserve Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Shivansh Finserve Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
The market capitalisation of Shivansh Finserve Ltd is ₹66.4M (≈ $689K). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shivansh Finserve Ltd is 2.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
Earnings per share at Shivansh Finserve Ltd are ₹0.6800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
The net margin of Shivansh Finserve Ltd is 16.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shivansh Finserve Ltd is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shivansh Finserve Ltd is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
The operating margin of Shivansh Finserve Ltd is −227% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA)?
Revenue at Shivansh Finserve Ltd is growing +91.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −81.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA) generate?
The free cash flow of Shivansh Finserve Ltd is ₹103M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shivansh Finserve Ltd (SHIVA) carry?
The net debt of Shivansh Finserve Ltd is ₹23.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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