SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. ₹127, price ₹171, upside -25.9%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹86.30 – ₹262.05 · fair‑value band ₹90.70 – ₹202.32 · the ₹171.10 price screens above the ₹126.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN) currently trades at ₹171.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹126.87, 25.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹384.71 per share, and 11 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹171.10 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹80.46, and 4 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹90.70 (bear) to ₹202.32 (bull), the price of ₹171.10 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Staples sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SIMRAN FARMS LTD. reported revenue of ₹8.7B in FY2025 versus ₹3.9B in FY2021, a compound +22.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹50.9M in FY2025, compounding −16.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹823M (≈ $8.5M) · P/E ratio 13.1 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) ₹13.07 · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 0.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Staples peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −26%, SIMRAN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹90.70Fair Value ₹126.87Bull ₹202.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹9.88 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−18.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.9% vs 15.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 1%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Poultry Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Staples · 1707 stocks
Beats the sector median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−25.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.2% · Above median
Return on assets3.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Staples median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)13.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.09× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.2× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)22· sector 15
PAST (return on equity)41· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹126.87 versus a price of ₹171.10, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIMRAN?
Our model-based fair value for SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is ₹126.87 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹171.10.
What is the quality score of SIMRAN?
SIMRAN FARMS LTD. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹126.87 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹90.70, optimistic scenario ₹202.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SIMRAN FARMS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹126.87, about −26% upside versus a price of ₹171.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹90.70, optimistic scenario ₹202.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
SIMRAN FARMS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SIMRAN FARMS LTD. it is ₹126.87 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹171.10. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SIMRAN FARMS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SIMRAN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹171.10, fair value ₹126.87, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIMRAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹171.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹126.87). For SIMRAN FARMS LTD. the two are ₹44.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SIMRAN FARMS LTD. worth?
The market values SIMRAN FARMS LTD. at about ₹823M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹171.10; our models calculate a fair value of ₹126.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIMRAN?
Our models span a range for SIMRAN FARMS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹90.70, base ₹126.87, optimistic ₹202.32 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹171.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIMRAN?
SIMRAN FARMS LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹126.87 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 7.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIMRAN from its 52-week high?
SIMRAN FARMS LTD. trades at ₹171.10, about 11% below its 52-week high of ₹191.55 and 24% above the low of ₹138.05 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹126.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SIMRAN FARMS LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Staples) we also value CIANAGRO, SHINDL, SURJIND, Goodricke Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SIMRAN FARMS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹171.10, calculated fair value ₹126.87 (−26%), Quality Score 33/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIMRAN calculated?
We run SIMRAN FARMS LTD. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹126.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SIMRAN FARMS LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹171.10. Our model-based fair value is ₹126.87, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SIMRAN FARMS LTD. right now?
Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (₹90.70 to ₹202.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of SIMRAN FARMS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
The market capitalisation of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is ₹823M (≈ $8.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is 0.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
Earnings per share at SIMRAN FARMS LTD. are ₹13.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
The net margin of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is 0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
The operating margin of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
Revenue at SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is growing +4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN)?
Earnings per share at SIMRAN FARMS LTD. are growing +0.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN) generate?
The free cash flow of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is −₹92.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SIMRAN FARMS LTD. (SIMRAN) carry?
The net debt of SIMRAN FARMS LTD. is ₹322M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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