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Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Sembcorp Marine Ltd $1.43, price $1.39, upside +3.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · US · Home Singapore

SM Sembcorp Marine Ltd logo Broad data Sep 27, 2026

Sembcorp Marine Ltd

SMBMF · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $1.43 · Fairly valued (+3.0%)
!Quality 43/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +50.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!2.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Weak on past: 19 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$21.79 $0.8822 Fair Value $1.43 Jun 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.8822 – $21.79 · fair‑value band $0.6400 – $1.86 · the $1.39 price screens below the $1.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Seatrium Limited provides engineering solutions to the offshore, marine, and energy industries. It operates through Rigs & floaters, Repairs & upgrades, Offshore platforms and Specialised shipbuilding; Ship chartering; and Others segments.

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Seatrium Limited provides engineering solutions to the offshore, marine, and energy industries. It operates through Rigs & floaters, Repairs & upgrades, Offshore platforms and Specialised shipbuilding; Ship chartering; and Others segments. The company engages in the turnkey design, engineering, procurement, construction, and commissioning of offshore newbuilding and conversions; FSOs, FPSOs, FDPSOs, FPUs, and MOPUs; gas terminals, FLNGs, FSRUs, and Gravifloat; offshore oil and gas fixed platforms; onshore LNG and plant modules; jack-ups, semi-submersibles, and drill ships; and TLPs, SPARs, and SSP solutions. It is also involved in the dry-docking, repair, refurbishment, retrofitting, life-extension, upgrading, and conversion of offshore and marine vessels and structures; gas carriers; cruise ships, ferries, and yachts; floating production vessels; mobile offshore drilling units, jack-ups, and semi submersibles; heavy lift vessels; and specialized projects, including jumboisation and dejumboisation. In addition, the company offers turnkey engineering, procurement, construction, transportation, installation, offshore hook-up, commissioning, and brownfield solutions; high voltage direct current (HVDC) converter stations, high voltage alternating current (HVAC) substations, and wind turbine foundations; and wind turbine installation vessels, floating offshore wind turbines, floating wind-HVDC stations, and HVAC stations. Further, it provides specialized shipbuilding solutions comprising ferry, RoPax, cruise, renewable energy support, offshore support, naval support and security, and research and scientific survey vessels. Additionally, it engages in LNG and ammonia assets; clean tech and energy transition; energies and alternative fuel value chain solutions; and digitalisation solutions. The company was formerly known as Sembcorp Marine Ltd and changed its name to Seatrium Limited in April 2023. Seatrium Limited was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Stock analysis

Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF) currently trades at $1.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.43, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.9%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $2.30 per share, and 18 of the 25 models we run sit above the $1.39 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.2300, and 7 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $0.6400 (bear) to $1.86 (bull), the price of $1.39 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sembcorp Marine Ltd reported revenue of 11.5B SGD in FY2025 versus 1.9B SGD in FY2021, a compound +57.5%/yr. Reported net income was 323M SGD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.6B · P/E ratio 19.8 · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) $0.0700 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 3%, SMBMF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.6400 Fair Value $1.43 Bull $1.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0296 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $1.52 $1.51 $1.38 76
EPV $0.5900 $0.7200 $0.8300 74
Growth DCF $0.3200 $0.8300 $1.61 73
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.3300 $0.7600 $1.81 72
Owner Earnings $2.72 $5.70 $11.26 72
5Y Revenue Exit $0.7800 $1.83 $3.37 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.57 $3.59 $6.34 71
5Y P/E Exit $0.9500 $2.21 $3.78 67
10Y Revenue Exit $0.5900 $1.55 $3.24 61
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.16 $2.87 $5.88 63
10Y P/E Exit $0.7400 $1.83 $3.60 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.6500 $3.89 $5.42 63
Lynch FV $1.11 $1.58 $2.06 61
PEG = 1.0 $1.11 $1.58 $2.06 57
EPV $0.5900 $0.7200 $0.8300 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1300 $0.2600 $0.4000 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1300 $0.2300 $0.2800 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 63
P/S Multiple $1.22 $1.62 $2.03 58
P/B Multiple $1.22 $1.62 $2.03 55
EV/EBIT $1.43 $1.97 $2.51 66
EV/EBITDA $2.24 $3.06 $3.87 67
EV/Revenue $0.9600 $1.46 $1.96 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.02 $1.36 $2.04 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.3200 $0.8300 $1.61 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.52 $1.51 $1.38 76
ROIC Compounder $0.5900 $0.7200 $0.8300 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.61 $2.30 $2.99 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+80.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.7% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−38.5% (2020) → 3.8% (2025)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+56.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−3.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SGD, Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +53.0% a year for the price and −5.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−8.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−2.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)−1.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)−1.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)−0.8%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 188 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +3.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4.8% · Below median
Return on assets 1.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.36× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 210.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.68× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)37 · sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)85 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)19 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)82 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)43 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sembcorp Marine Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMBMF

Frequently asked questions

Is Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.43 versus a price of $1.39, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SMBMF?
Our model-based fair value for Sembcorp Marine Ltd is $1.43 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.39.
What is the quality score of SMBMF?
Sembcorp Marine Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.43 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6400, optimistic scenario $1.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sembcorp Marine Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.43, about +3% upside versus a price of $1.39 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.6400, optimistic scenario $1.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
Sembcorp Marine Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.5B SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Sembcorp Marine Ltd pay a dividend?
Sembcorp Marine Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sembcorp Marine Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +56.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +50.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMBMF use?
Our models discount Sembcorp Marine Ltd at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sembcorp Marine Ltd that is +56.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sembcorp Marine Ltd grew +50.0 % a year. The price currently implies +56.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sembcorp Marine Ltd (+56.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.44 %: that much free cash flow Sembcorp Marine Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sembcorp Marine Ltd it is $1.43 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $1.39. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sembcorp Marine Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SMBMF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.39, fair value $1.43, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMBMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.43). For Sembcorp Marine Ltd the two are $0.0410 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sembcorp Marine Ltd worth?
The market values Sembcorp Marine Ltd at about $5.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $1.39; our models calculate a fair value of $1.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMBMF?
Our models span a range for Sembcorp Marine Ltd: cautious scenario $0.6400, base $1.43, optimistic $1.86 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $1.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMBMF?
Sembcorp Marine Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.8, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
What is the PEG ratio of SMBMF?
The PEG ratio of Sembcorp Marine Ltd is 0.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sembcorp Marine Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 4.8%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMBMF from its 52-week high?
Sembcorp Marine Ltd trades at $1.39, about 39% below its 52-week high of $2.28 and 26% above the low of $1.11 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sembcorp Marine Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, Tenaris S.A, TechnipFMC plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sembcorp Marine Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $1.39, calculated fair value $1.43 (+3%), Quality Score 43/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMBMF calculated?
We run Sembcorp Marine Ltd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Sembcorp Marine Ltd currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $1.39. Our model-based fair value is $1.43, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sembcorp Marine Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.6400 to $1.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Key figures of Sembcorp Marine Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
The market capitalisation of Sembcorp Marine Ltd is $5.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sembcorp Marine Ltd is 0.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
Earnings per share at Sembcorp Marine Ltd are $0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
The dividend yield of Sembcorp Marine Ltd is 2.2% (payout 42.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
The net margin of Sembcorp Marine Ltd is 2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sembcorp Marine Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sembcorp Marine Ltd is −3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
The operating margin of Sembcorp Marine Ltd is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
Revenue at Sembcorp Marine Ltd is growing +17.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +80.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF)?
Earnings per share at Sembcorp Marine Ltd are growing +48.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sembcorp Marine Ltd (SMBMF) carry?
The net debt of Sembcorp Marine Ltd is 1.1B SGD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 43.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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