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SOHO China Limited (SOHOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of SOHO China Limited $0.05, price $0.04, upside +30.0%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
SOHO China Limited
SOHOF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $0.0520 · Undervalued (+30.0%)
✓Quality 62/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -21.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0400 – $1.55 · fair‑value band $0.0296 – $0.0840 · the $0.0400 price screens below the $0.0520 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
SOHO China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in real estate development, and property leasing and related management activities in the People's Republic of China. It also operates serviced hotels and plazas. SOHO China Limited was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
SOHO China Limited (SOHOF) currently trades at $0.0400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0520, implying the stock looks roughly 23.1% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.1000 per share, and 7 of the 10 models we run sit above the $0.0400 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 3 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0296 (bear) to $0.0840 (bull), the price of $0.0400 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
SOHO China Limited reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −283M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $328M · P/S ratio 0.24 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin −16.5% · Return on equity −0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Operating margin 52.8% · Revenue (TTM) 1.4B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 30%, SOHOF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0296
Fair Value $0.0520
Bull $0.0840
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
n/a
$0.0500
$0.1700
77
Growth DCF
n/a
$0.0500
$0.1600
75
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$0.0700
$0.2100
72
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
n/a
$0.0500
$0.1700
77
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$0.0100
>$0.0400
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$0.0700
$0.2100
72
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$0.0100
>$0.0400
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$0.0500
$0.1300
65
Multiples
EV/EBIT
$0.0700
$0.1800
$0.3000
61
EV/EBITDA
$0.0100
$0.1000
$0.1900
58
EV/Revenue
n/a
n/a
$0.0800
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.5200
$0.6900
$1.03
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
n/a
$0.0500
$0.1600
75
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
$0.0100
>$0.0400
69
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
62/100
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Profitability
7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
’14
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’18
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’20
’21
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’23
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
78.3% (2018) → 50.6% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 232,000 VND | 25,731 VND | −89% |
| CBRE Group CBRE | $134.55 | $91.06 | −32% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$42.92 | HK$17.16 | −60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.32 | HK$13.39 | −45% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €23.99 | €23.94 | +0% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €16.82 | €36.55 | +117% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $308.07 | $540.65 | +75% |
| Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 | HK$30.54 | HK$27.42 | −10% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $26.95 | $6.19 | −77% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$37.00 | HK$56.36 | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is SOHO China Limited (SOHOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0520 versus a price of $0.0400, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOHOF?
Our model-based fair value for SOHO China Limited is $0.0520 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0400.
What is the quality score of SOHOF?
SOHO China Limited has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0520 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0296, optimistic scenario $0.0840. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SOHO China Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0520, about +30% upside versus a price of $0.0400 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0296, optimistic scenario $0.0840. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
SOHO China Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SOHO China Limited it is $0.0520 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0400. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SOHO China Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SOHOF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0400, fair value $0.0520, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOHOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0520). For SOHO China Limited the two are $0.0120 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SOHO China Limited worth?
The market values SOHO China Limited at about $328M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0400; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0520 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOHOF?
Our models span a range for SOHO China Limited: cautious scenario $0.0296, base $0.0520, optimistic $0.0840 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SOHOF?
The PEG ratio of SOHO China Limited is 1.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for SOHO China Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.8%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOHOF from its 52-week high?
SOHO China Limited trades at $0.0400, about 43% below its 52-week high of $0.0700 and at the low of $0.0400 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0520 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SOHO China Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SOHO China Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0400, calculated fair value $0.0520 (+30%), Quality Score 62/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOHOF calculated?
We run SOHO China Limited through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0520, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SOHO China Limited currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0400. Our model-based fair value is $0.0520, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SOHO China Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.0296 to $0.0840). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of SOHO China Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
The market capitalisation of SOHO China Limited is $328M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SOHO China Limited is 0.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
Earnings per share at SOHO China Limited are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
The net margin of SOHO China Limited is −16.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SOHO China Limited is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SOHO China Limited is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
The operating margin of SOHO China Limited is 52.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
Revenue at SOHO China Limited is growing −7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SOHO China Limited (SOHOF)?
Earnings per share at SOHO China Limited are growing −92.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SOHO China Limited (SOHOF) generate?
The free cash flow of SOHO China Limited is 584M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SOHO China Limited (SOHOF) carry?
The net debt of SOHO China Limited is 14.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 24.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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