Vingroup Joint Stock Company (VIC) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · VN · Market cap 1,672T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −0.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (32,164 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19,950 VND – 230,500 VND · fair‑value band 19,298 VND – 32,164 VND · the 218,800 VND price screens above the 25,731 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Vingroup Joint Stock Company (VIC) currently trades at 218,800 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25,731 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 88.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Vingroup Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 352T VND at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 24.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at 265T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 19,298 VND (bear case) to 32,164 VND (bull case); at 218,800 VND, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -88%, VIC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (50,794 VND) versus Dividend Discount (5,912 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vingroup Joint Stock Company invests in, constructs, and trades in real estate properties in Vietnam. It operates through Sale of Inventory Properties; Leasing Investment Properties and Related Services; Hospitality, Entertainment and Related Services; Health Care and Related Services; Education and Related Services; Manufacturing and Related Activities; …
Full company description
Vingroup Joint Stock Company invests in, constructs, and trades in real estate properties in Vietnam. It operates through Sale of Inventory Properties; Leasing Investment Properties and Related Services; Hospitality, Entertainment and Related Services; Health Care and Related Services; Education and Related Services; Manufacturing and Related Activities; General Contractor and Related Services; and Others segments. The company leases office and retail areas; operates hotels and resorts; manufactures and trades in automotive vehicles; and provides health care, education, general contractor, real estate management, information technology, real estate broker, and other services. The company was formerly known as Vincom Joint Stock Company and changed its name to Vingroup Joint Stock Company in April 2012. Vingroup Joint Stock Company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vingroup Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 332T VND in FY2025 versus 126T VND in FY2021, a compound +27.5%/yr. Reported net income was 11.3T VND in FY2025.
VIC screens 88% overvalued. Compare with KE Holdings →
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 522 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$39.92 | HK$34.92 | -13% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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