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Data-driven stock valuation

CBRE Group Inc Class A (CBRE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what CBRE Group Inc Class A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Real Estate · US · Market cap $40.9B · ISIN US12504L1098

At a glance

CG CBRE Group Inc Class A logo CBRE Group Inc Class A CBRE · US
Price$147.85
Fair Value$69.47
Upside−53.0%
Quality56/100

A solid business, but trading 113% above our fair value of $69.47.

As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of CBRE Group Inc Class A is $69.47 per share against a price of $147.85, so the fair value sits 53% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +11.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $40.20 to $93.77

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −2.2% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($93.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($40.20 to $93.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$171.61 $65.76 Fair Value $69.47 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $65.76 – $171.61 · fair‑value band $40.20 – $93.77 · the $147.85 price screens above the $69.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

CBRE Group Inc Class A (CBRE) currently trades at $147.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.47, implying the stock looks roughly 112.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $94.30 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the $147.85 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $20.31, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, CBRE Group Inc Class A generated revenue of $42.2B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.6%. Net debt stands at $8.1B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Scenario range: $40.20 (bear) to $93.77 (bull), the price of $147.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −53%, CBRE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.99 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $44.14 $94.30 $185.67 75
Growth DCF $43.25 $87.88 $166.10 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $68.57 $142.82 $239.23 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $44.14 $94.30 $185.67 75
5Y Revenue Exit $34.00 $69.07 $117.49 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $68.57 $142.82 $239.23 72
10Y Revenue Exit $35.48 $70.56 $126.23 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $60.17 $125.66 $231.58 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.4200 $0.8700 $1.39 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.4200 $0.7400 $0.9200 66
Multiples
P/S Multiple $50.38 $67.17 $83.96 58
P/B Multiple $45.48 $60.64 $75.80 55
EV/EBIT $62.04 $86.34 $110.65 66
EV/EBITDA $85.87 $118.12 $150.37 67
EV/Revenue $29.33 $46.57 $63.80 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.16 $20.31 $30.32 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $43.25 $87.88 $166.10 74
Rev-Margin DCF $34.00 $68.06 $113.74 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $28.77 $36.48 $100.78 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($94.30) versus Dividend Discount ($0.7400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 33.8
P/S ratio 0.97 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $4.37 price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.8
Dividend yield 0.0% payout 1.2%
Net margin 2.9% FY2025
Return on equity 15.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 2.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $42.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.6% 3y avg +9.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +98.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.2B FY2025
Net debt $8.1B FY2025 · ≈ 6.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

CBRE Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate services and investment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates through Advisory Services, Building Operations and Experience, Project Management, and Real Estate Investments segments.

Full company description

CBRE Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate services and investment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates through Advisory Services, Building Operations and Experience, Project Management, and Real Estate Investments segments. The Advisory Services segment offers strategic advice and execution to owners, investors, and occupiers of real estate in connection with leasing of offices, and industrial and retail space; clients fully integrated property sales services under the CBRE Capital Markets brand; clients commercial mortgage and structured financing services; originates and sells commercial mortgage loans; property management services, such as marketing, building engineering, lease administration, accounting, investment reporting services, financial services on a contractual basis for owners of and investors in office, industrial, and retail properties; and valuation services that include market value appraisals, litigation support, discounted cash flow analyses, and feasibility studies, as well as consulting services, such as property condition reports, hotel advisory, and environmental consulting. The Global Workplace Solutions segment provides facilities management, and project management services comprising building consulting, program, and project and cost management services under the Turner & Townsend brand name. The Real Estate Investments segment offers investment management services under the CBRE Investment Management brand to pension funds, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, foundations, endowments, and other institutional investors and development services, such as real estate development and investment activities under the Trammell Crow Company brand to users and investors in commercial real estate, and for their own account. CBRE Group, Inc. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CBRE Group Inc Class A reported revenue of $40.6B in FY2025 versus $27.7B in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding −10.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$40.6B
Latest YoY
+13.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+3.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+3.0%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 0.4% vs 10Y 9.0%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4.1% (2020) → 3.2% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop389% (2008) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue +10.0%/yr
FY21 $27.7B
FY22 $30.8B
FY23 $31.9B
FY24 $35.8B
FY25 $40.6B
Net income −10.9%/yr
FY21 $1.8B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $986M
FY24 $968M
FY25 $1.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +13.7 %

of which total revenue +12.6 % · buybacks/dilution +1.0 %

EBIT margin −6.6 %
Tax rate +2.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CBRE screens 113% overvalued. Compare with Vonovia SE →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
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CBRE Group Inc Class A · Fair Value
$69.47 −113%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CBRE Group Inc Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CBRE

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 526 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −53% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.57× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.60× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 34.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.74× · Cheaper than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must CBRE Group Inc Class A deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+18.2 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+11.2 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+1.5 %
FCF yield on price2.68 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.9 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 29
FUTURE93 · sector 10
PAST62 · sector 17
HEALTH72 · sector 84
DIVIDEND1 · sector 63

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vonovia SE VNA €19.15 €36.67 +91%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €25.66 €25.46 −1%
KE Holdings BEKE $17.42 $6.57 −62%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $378.01 $290.25 −23%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.84 HK$5.12 −79%
CoStar Group CSGP $32.22 $4.64 −86%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.84 HK$34.95 −12%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.66 SGD 0.4900 SGD −82%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 4,040 CLP 4,571 CLP +13%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.50 kr 75.55 −56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CBRE Group Inc Class A (CBRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $69.47 versus a price of $147.85, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CBRE?
Our model-based fair value for CBRE Group Inc Class A is $69.47 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $147.85.
What is the quality score of CBRE?
CBRE Group Inc Class A has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CBRE Group Inc Class A (CBRE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $69.47 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $40.20, optimistic scenario $93.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CBRE Group Inc Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $69.47, about −53% upside versus a price of $147.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $40.20, optimistic scenario $93.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CBRE Group Inc Class A (CBRE)?
CBRE Group Inc Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $42.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CBRE?
The net profit margin of CBRE Group Inc Class A is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CBRE Group Inc Class A pay a dividend?
CBRE Group Inc Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into CBRE Group Inc Class A (CBRE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CBRE Group Inc Class A would have to grow free cash flow by +18.2 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.9 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.2 % per year. As of Sep 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CBRE use?
Our models discount CBRE Group Inc Class A at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.28, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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