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Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Singapore Exchange Limited $6.46, price $17.00, upside -62.0%, quality 83 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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SE
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Singapore Exchange Limited
SPXCF · USQuality Too ExpensiveExcellent quality, but the valuation looks stretched.
!Fair value $6.46 · Strongly overvalued (−62.0%)
✓Quality 83/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 45.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.4% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 91/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.15 – $20.45 · fair‑value band $4.62 – $11.59 · the $17.00 price screens above the $6.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Singapore Exchange Limited, an investment holding, engages in the operation of integrated securities and derivatives exchange, related clearing houses, and an electricity market in Singapore. It operates through Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities; Equities " Cash; Equities " Derivatives; and Platform and Others segments.
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Singapore Exchange Limited, an investment holding, engages in the operation of integrated securities and derivatives exchange, related clearing houses, and an electricity market in Singapore. It operates through Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities; Equities " Cash; Equities " Derivatives; and Platform and Others segments. The company offers treasury management; management and administrative services to related corporations; market data and technology connectivity services; fixed income issuer, derivatives and securities trading, clearing, securities settlement, and collateral and depository management services. It also provides various services associated with the platform businesses, including market data, connectivity, indices, and membership subscription. In addition, the company is involved in the provision and distribution of bulk freight market indices and information, index administration and related services, and operation of electronic foreign exchange (FX) trading solutions and platforms; operation of an electronic communication network; and provision of counterparty guarantee, depository, and related services for securities transactions. Further, it offers front-line regulatory function, management consultancy services of index activities, and FX pricing and risk solutions; membership services; financial services for dealing, trading, and clearing of financial instruments; and computer and software maintenance services, as well as administration services for index calculation, risk analyses, and financial research. Singapore Exchange Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF) currently trades at $17.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.46, 62.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $8.22 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $17.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.08, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $4.62 (bear) to $11.59 (bull), the price of $17.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Singapore Exchange Limited reported revenue of 1.4B SGD in FY2025 versus 1.1B SGD in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 648M SGD in FY2025, compounding +9.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $19.8B · P/E ratio 36.2 · P/S ratio 17.1 · EPS (TTM) $0.4700 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 47.3% · Return on equity 30.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −62%, SPXCF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.62
Fair Value $6.46
Bull $11.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0570 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF
$7.02
$10.25
$14.89
78
Owner Earnings
$6.00
$9.15
$13.96
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$3.52
$4.57
$5.65
74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$6.00
$9.15
$13.96
76
5Y P/E Exit
$5.32
$7.93
$10.63
71
10Y P/E Exit
$5.84
$8.22
$11.08
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$3.22
$10.05
$13.37
65
Lynch FV
$2.19
$3.13
$4.07
61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$2.58
$5.37
$8.52
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$2.58
$4.28
$5.64
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$4.61
$6.15
$7.69
63
P/B Multiple
$1.69
$2.25
$2.81
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.8000
$1.08
$1.61
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$7.02
$10.25
$14.89
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$3.52
$4.57
$5.65
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$2.73
$3.45
$5.89
73
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
83/100
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Profitability
70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.0% vs 6.4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.54% → 54%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SGD, Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.5% a year for the price and +5.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+8.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.1%
SPXCF screens overvalued: fair value 62% below the price. Compare with S&P Global Inc →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- Trump’s Crypto Push Opens Perpetuals Race to Singapore Exchange
- Ambiq Expands Global Capital Markets Presence Through Singapore Exchange Mainboard Dual Listing
- Is It Too Late To Consider Singapore Exchange (SGX:S68) After A 55% One Year Rally?
- Assessing Singapore Exchange (SGX:S68) Valuation After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum
Compare Singapore Exchange Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 52 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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| S&P Global Inc SPGI | $394.47 | $216.54 | −45% |
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| Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE | $152.03 | $138.87 | −9% |
| Moody's Corporation MCO | $460.08 | $198.41 | −57% |
| Deutsche Börse AG DB1 | €287.30 | €226.86 | −21% |
| Coinbase Global, Inc COIN | $189.29 | $185.08 | −2% |
| Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ | $91.85 | $41.61 | −55% |
| MSCI Inc MSCI | $539.76 | $262.25 | −51% |
| Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE | $253.26 | $247.55 | −2% |
| Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 | ¥204.10 | ¥135.82 | −33% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.46 versus a price of $17.00, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPXCF?
Our model-based fair value for Singapore Exchange Limited is $6.46 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.00.
What is the quality score of SPXCF?
Singapore Exchange Limited has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.46 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.62, optimistic scenario $11.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Singapore Exchange Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.46, about −62% upside versus a price of $17.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.62, optimistic scenario $11.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
Singapore Exchange Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Singapore Exchange Limited pay a dividend?
Singapore Exchange Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Singapore Exchange Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +11.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.4 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SPXCF use?
Our models discount Singapore Exchange Limited at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Singapore Exchange Limited that is +11.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Singapore Exchange Limited grew +5.4 % a year. The price currently implies +11.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Singapore Exchange Limited (+11.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.31 %: that much free cash flow Singapore Exchange Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Singapore Exchange Limited it is $6.46 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $17.00. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Singapore Exchange Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, SPXCF trades above its calculated fair value: price $17.00, fair value $6.46, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPXCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.46). For Singapore Exchange Limited the two are $10.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Singapore Exchange Limited worth?
The market values Singapore Exchange Limited at about $19.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $17.00; our models calculate a fair value of $6.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPXCF?
Our models span a range for Singapore Exchange Limited: cautious scenario $4.62, base $6.46, optimistic $11.59 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $17.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SPXCF?
Singapore Exchange Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.2 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.6, P/B 9.0, P/S 13.9, EV/EBITDA 23.9.
What is the PEG ratio of SPXCF?
The PEG ratio of Singapore Exchange Limited is 3.64 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Singapore Exchange Limited (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 30.1%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 83/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPXCF from its 52-week high?
Singapore Exchange Limited trades at $17.00, about 17% below its 52-week high of $20.45 and 40% above the low of $12.14 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Singapore Exchange Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value S&P Global Inc, CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc, Moody's Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Singapore Exchange Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $17.00, calculated fair value $6.46 (−62%), Quality Score 83/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPXCF calculated?
We run Singapore Exchange Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Singapore Exchange Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $17.00. Our model-based fair value is $6.46, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Singapore Exchange Limited right now?
A high-quality business (quality 83/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range ($4.62 to $11.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF) come from?
Earnings per share at Singapore Exchange Limited grew +6.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.6 %, EBIT margin +0.2 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Singapore Exchange Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
The market capitalisation of Singapore Exchange Limited is $19.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Singapore Exchange Limited is 17.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
Earnings per share at Singapore Exchange Limited are $0.4700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
The dividend yield of Singapore Exchange Limited is 2.4% (payout 87.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
The net margin of Singapore Exchange Limited is 47.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Singapore Exchange Limited is 30.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Singapore Exchange Limited is 16.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
The operating margin of Singapore Exchange Limited is 57.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
Revenue at Singapore Exchange Limited is growing +7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF)?
Earnings per share at Singapore Exchange Limited are growing +0.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Singapore Exchange Limited (SPXCF) hold?
Singapore Exchange Limited holds more cash than debt, 442M SGD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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