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S&P Global Inc (SPGI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what S&P Global Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · US · ISIN US78409V1044

SP S&P Global Inc logo Broad data Sep 17, 2026

S&P Global Inc

SPGI · US

Quality Too ExpensiveExcellent quality, but the valuation looks stretched.

!Fair value $209.90 · Strongly overvalued (−48%)
✓Quality 81/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 30.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.95% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
✓Wide moat 85/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$529.29 $262.68 Fair Value $209.90 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $262.68 – $529.29 · fair‑value band $135.35 – $299.66 · the $404.47 price screens above the $209.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

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Company profile

S&P Global Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions in the global capital, energy and commodity, and automotive markets. It operates through five segments: S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Global Ratings, S&P Global Energy, S&P Global Mobility, and S&P Dow Jones Indices.

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S&P Global Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions in the global capital, energy and commodity, and automotive markets. It operates through five segments: S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Global Ratings, S&P Global Energy, S&P Global Mobility, and S&P Dow Jones Indices. The S&P Global Market Intelligence segment provides multi-asset-class data and analytics integrated with purpose-built workflow solutions. This segment offers Data, Analytics & Insights, a desktop product suite that provides data, analytics, and third-party research for global finance and corporate professionals; research, reference data, market data, derived analytics, and valuation services; enterprise solutions, such as software and workflow solutions; and credit and risk solutions for selling Ratings' credit ratings and related data and research, analytics, and financial risk solutions. The S&P Global Ratings segment operates as an independent provider of credit ratings, research, and analytics offering investors information and independent benchmarks for their investment and financial decisions as well as access to the capital markets. The S&P Global Energy segment provides information and benchmark prices for the energy and commodity markets. The S&P Global Mobility segment offers solutions for the full automotive value chain, including vehicle manufacturers, automotive suppliers, mobility service providers, retailers, consumers, and finance and insurance companies. The S&P Dow Jones Indices segment operates as an index provider that maintains various valuation and index benchmarks for investment advisors, wealth managers, and institutional investors. It has operations in the United States, European region, Asia, and internationally. S&P Global Inc. was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

S&P Global Inc (SPGI) currently trades at $404.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $209.90, implying the stock looks roughly 92.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $216.69 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $404.47 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $60.53, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $135.35 (bear) to $299.66 (bull), the price of $404.47 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

S&P Global Inc reported revenue of $15.3B in FY2025 versus $8.3B in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was $4.5B in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $135B · P/E ratio 24.8 · P/S ratio 7.24 · EPS (TTM) $16.28 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 29.2% · Return on equity 13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 68 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −48%, SPGI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $135.35 Fair Value $209.90 Bull $299.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($9.02 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $177.85 $282.92 $434.09 77
Owner Earnings $174.39 $293.48 $476.19 75
Rev-Margin DCF $82.34 $133.53 $193.72 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $174.39 $293.48 $476.19 75
5Y P/E Exit $122.81 $206.94 $294.36 70
10Y P/E Exit $139.48 $216.69 $309.73 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $102.71 $325.81 $434.12 64
Lynch FV $71.69 $102.41 $133.13 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $36.29 $75.46 $119.71 66
DDM Multi-Stage $36.29 $60.53 $79.20 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $147.27 $196.36 $245.45 63
P/B Multiple $110.80 $147.73 $184.67 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $52.76 $70.70 $105.52 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $177.85 $282.92 $434.09 77
Rev-Margin DCF $82.34 $133.53 $193.72 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $103.70 $133.49 $344.08 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 81/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+8.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9% vs 9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.49% → 42%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−0.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.7%

SPGI screens 93% overvalued. Compare with CME Group →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 55 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Below median
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 44% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.40× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.33× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 8.61× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 24.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 18.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.85× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)52 · sector 69
PAST (return on equity)56 · sector 77
HEALTH (low debt)80 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)19 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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MSCI Inc MSCI $540.61 $241.03 −55%
Coinbase Global, Inc COIN $172.11 $183.56 +7%
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Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 ¥201.04 ¥132.96 −34%

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S&P Global Inc · Fair Value
$209.90 −93%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "S&P Global Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPGI

Frequently asked questions

Is S&P Global Inc (SPGI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $209.90 versus a price of $404.47, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPGI?
Our model-based fair value for S&P Global Inc is $209.90 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $404.47.
What is the quality score of SPGI?
S&P Global Inc has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $209.90 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $135.35, optimistic scenario $299.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the S&P Global Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $209.90, about −48% upside versus a price of $404.47 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $135.35, optimistic scenario $299.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
S&P Global Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does S&P Global Inc pay a dividend?
S&P Global Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What growth is priced into S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, S&P Global Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +12.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.6 % per year. As of Sep 17, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SPGI use?
Our models discount S&P Global Inc at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.08, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For S&P Global Inc that is +12.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has S&P Global Inc (SPGI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at S&P Global Inc grew +15.6 % a year. The price currently implies +12.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of S&P Global Inc (SPGI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into S&P Global Inc (+12.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.41 %: that much free cash flow S&P Global Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For S&P Global Inc it is $209.90 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of $404.47. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is S&P Global Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, SPGI trades above its calculated fair value: price $404.47, fair value $209.90, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPGI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($404.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($209.90). For S&P Global Inc the two are $194.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is S&P Global Inc worth?
The market values S&P Global Inc at about $135B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is $404.47; our models calculate a fair value of $209.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPGI?
Our models span a range for S&P Global Inc: cautious scenario $135.35, base $209.90, optimistic $299.66 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price $404.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SPGI?
S&P Global Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.8 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $209.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.8, P/B 4.3, P/S 8.6, EV/EBITDA 18.6.
What is the PEG ratio of SPGI?
The PEG ratio of S&P Global Inc is 1.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
Balance-sheet figures for S&P Global Inc (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 13.9%, debt of 0.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 81/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPGI from its 52-week high?
S&P Global Inc trades at $404.47, about 30% below its 52-week high of $574.23 and 6% above the low of $379.84 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $209.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to S&P Global Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value CME Group, Moody's Corporation, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is S&P Global Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price $404.47, calculated fair value $209.90 (−48%), Quality Score 81/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPGI calculated?
We run S&P Global Inc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $209.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. S&P Global Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $404.47. Our model-based fair value is $209.90, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with S&P Global Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 81/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($299.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range ($135.35 to $299.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of S&P Global Inc (SPGI) come from?
Earnings per share at S&P Global Inc grew +8.1 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.8 %, EBIT margin −2.6 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of S&P Global Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
The market capitalisation of S&P Global Inc is $135B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of S&P Global Inc is 7.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
Earnings per share at S&P Global Inc are $16.28 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
The dividend yield of S&P Global Inc is 1.0% (payout 23.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
The net margin of S&P Global Inc is 29.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of S&P Global Inc is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of S&P Global Inc is 12.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
The operating margin of S&P Global Inc is 44.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
Revenue at S&P Global Inc is growing +10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at S&P Global Inc (SPGI)?
Earnings per share at S&P Global Inc are growing +32.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does S&P Global Inc (SPGI) carry?
The net debt of S&P Global Inc is $12.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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