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Tiny Ltd (TNYZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Tiny Ltd $2.20, price $4.20, upside -47.6%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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TL
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Tiny Ltd
TNYZF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $2.20 · Strongly overvalued (−47.6%)
!Quality 39/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +9.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -19.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.9900 to $3.69
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0004 – $28.67 · fair‑value band $0.9900 – $3.69 · the $4.20 price screens above the $2.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Tiny Ltd. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in buyouts. It prefers to invest in technology sectors. The firm prefers to invest globally but, have the most experience in the North American region.
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Tiny Ltd. is a venture capital and private equity firm specializing in buyouts. It prefers to invest in technology sectors. The firm prefers to invest globally but, have the most experience in the North American region. It prefers to invest in profitable businesses profit ranging between $0.5 million and $50 million and it's deal size ranges between $1 million and $300 million. It prefers to take majority and minority investment in its portfolio companies. Tiny Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Tiny Ltd (TNYZF) currently trades at $4.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.20, 47.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $8.74 per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the $4.20 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $2.37, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.9900 (bear) to $3.69 (bull), the price of $4.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Tiny Ltd reported revenue of C$204M in FY2025 versus C$154M in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −C$33.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $124M · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) $−1.02 · Net margin −16.6% · Return on equity −20.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin 0.7% · Revenue (TTM) C$207M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −48%, TNYZF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.9900
Fair Value $2.20
Bull $3.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF
$6.11
$8.86
$12.10
76
Owner Earnings
$1.11
$2.37
$3.95
70
Rev-Margin DCF
$5.09
$8.74
$12.95
69
All 4 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$1.11
$2.37
$3.95
70
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.04
$2.73
$4.08
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$6.11
$8.86
$12.10
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$5.09
$8.74
$12.95
69
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
39/100
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Profitability
13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.5% (2022) → −3.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.0% a year for the price.
TNYZF screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $112.09 | $52.29 | −53% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $93.18 | $29.26 | −69% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | $36.87 | $13.45 | −64% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $116.06 | $197.23 | +70% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $177.78 | $139.37 | −22% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $494.82 | $595.40 | +20% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $122.01 | $103.68 | −15% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $175.73 | $123.42 | −30% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $161.16 | $317.27 | +97% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €68.10 | €136.20 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Tiny Ltd (TNYZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.20 versus a price of $4.20, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TNYZF?
Our model-based fair value for Tiny Ltd is $2.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.20.
What is the quality score of TNYZF?
Tiny Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9900, optimistic scenario $3.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tiny Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.20, about −48% upside versus a price of $4.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9900, optimistic scenario $3.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
Tiny Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$207M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tiny Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +0.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +9.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TNYZF use?
Our models discount Tiny Ltd at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tiny Ltd that is +0.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tiny Ltd (TNYZF) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Tiny Ltd grew +9.9 % a year. The price currently implies +0.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tiny Ltd (+0.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.06 %: that much free cash flow Tiny Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tiny Ltd it is $2.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.20. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tiny Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TNYZF trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.20, fair value $2.20, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TNYZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.20). For Tiny Ltd the two are $2.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tiny Ltd worth?
The market values Tiny Ltd at about $124M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.20; our models calculate a fair value of $2.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TNYZF?
Our models span a range for Tiny Ltd: cautious scenario $0.9900, base $2.20, optimistic $3.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $4.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is TNYZF from its 52-week high?
Tiny Ltd trades at $4.20, about 43% below its 52-week high of $7.36 and 27% above the low of $3.32 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tiny Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tiny Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.20, calculated fair value $2.20 (−48%), Quality Score 39/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TNYZF calculated?
We run Tiny Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Tiny Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $4.20. Our model-based fair value is $2.20, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tiny Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.9900 to $3.69). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Tiny Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
The market capitalisation of Tiny Ltd is $124M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tiny Ltd is 0.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
Earnings per share at Tiny Ltd are $−1.02. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
The net margin of Tiny Ltd is −16.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tiny Ltd is −20.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tiny Ltd is 1.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
The operating margin of Tiny Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tiny Ltd (TNYZF)?
Revenue at Tiny Ltd is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Tiny Ltd (TNYZF) carry?
The net debt of Tiny Ltd is C$97.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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