Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors

Yadea Group (YADGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Yadea Group $3.65, price $1.07, upside +241.1%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN KYG9830F1063

Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Yadea Group

YADGF · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $3.65 · Strongly undervalued (+241.1%)

✓Quality 74/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.2 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 7.9% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Moderate moat 58/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!The models disagree: range $2.55 to $7.03

26 models, one by oneBear $2.55 to bull $7.03 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 74/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7924 – $2.18 · fair‑value band $2.55 – $7.03 · the $1.07 price screens below the $3.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Yadea Group Holdings Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of electric two-wheeled vehicles and related accessories under the Yadea brand in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Electric Two-Wheeled Vehicles and Related Accessories; and Batteries and Electric Drives. The company offers electric scooters, electric bicycles, and batteries and chargers, as well as other electric two-wheeled vehicle parts. It is also involved in the provision of technical services and sale of consumer products. The company sells its products through its distributors, third-party e-commerce platforms, or offline customers. It also exports its products. Yadea Group Holdings Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Wuxi, China.

Stock analysis

Yadea Group (YADGF) currently trades at $1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.65, implying the stock looks roughly 70.7% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $4.77 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the $1.07 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.9100, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.55 (bear) to $7.03 (bull), the price of $1.07 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Yadea Group reported revenue of 36.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 27.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8B CNY in FY2025, compounding +20.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $3.3B · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 0.60 · EPS (TTM) $0.1400 · Net margin 7.9% · Return on equity 30.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6% · Operating margin 7.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 241%, YADGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.55 Fair Value $3.65 Bull $7.03

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $4.19 $6.92 $14.03 76

Growth DCF $4.04 $7.55 $13.74 75

5Y EBITDA Exit $2.60 $4.15 $6.40 74

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $4.19 $6.92 $14.03 76

Owner Earnings $2.22 $4.21 $8.07 72

5Y Revenue Exit $2.53 $4.00 $6.28 71

5Y EBITDA Exit $2.60 $4.15 $6.40 74

5Y P/E Exit $3.10 $5.41 $8.25 69

10Y Revenue Exit $2.99 $4.77 $7.19 66

10Y EBITDA Exit $3.08 $4.88 $7.81 67

10Y P/E Exit $3.43 $5.77 $9.49 62

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $0.9500 $6.11 $8.54 63

Lynch FV $1.77 $2.53 $3.29 61

PEG = 1.0 $1.77 $2.53 $3.29 57

EPV $1.47 $1.64 $1.78 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $0.5300 $1.05 $1.59 67

DDM Multi-Stage $0.5300 $0.9100 $1.11 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple $2.30 $3.07 $3.84 63

P/S Multiple $1.60 $2.13 $2.66 58

P/B Multiple $1.54 $2.06 $2.57 55

EV/EBIT $2.43 $3.09 $3.76 66

EV/EBITDA $1.97 $2.48 $3.00 67

EV/Revenue $1.77 $2.35 $2.93 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.2600 $0.3400 $0.5100 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $4.04 $7.55 $13.74 75

Rev-Margin DCF $2.53 $4.06 $6.26 71

Economic Profit

Residual Income $0.8600 $1.16 $2.24 72

ROIC Compounder $1.55 $1.81 $2.10 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $2.55 $3.65 $4.74 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 65

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 87

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 79

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 77

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 62

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 48

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 29

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 11

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 72

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 93/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+27.7%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+5.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+13.2%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.8% a year

Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+17.8%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+23.2%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+23.2%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23.2% vs 19.4%, picking up

Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 8%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−36.7%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+10.8%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −37.7% a year for the price and +9.0% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+14.6%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+11.7%

Projected 2028 (sales)+10.5%

Projected 2029 (sales)+9.3%

Projected 2030 (sales)+8.1%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 106 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −13.5% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 30.3% · Top 25%

Return on assets 7.6% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 7.9% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 7.5% · Top 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 28.9% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 55.4% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.03× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.6× · Cheapest 25%

P/B 1.67× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 0.5× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 2.4× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Tesla, Inc TSLA	$354.81	$40.97	−88%
Toyota Motor Corporation TM	$183.10	$211.47	+15%
BYD Company 002594	¥83.31	¥61.43	−26%
General Motors Company GM	$77.00	$60.53	−21%
Ferrari N.V RACE	$392.85	$432.14	+10%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380	353,500 KRW	362,081 KRW	+2%
Ford Motor Company F	$12.27	$12.59	+3%
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911	€43.00	€22.09	−49%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG	€39.73	€106.67	+169%
Honda Motor Co HMC	$31.62	$20.31	−36%

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Yadea Group · Fair Value
$3.65 +71%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yadea Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YADGF

Frequently asked questions

Is Yadea Group (YADGF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.65 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.07, about +241% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of YADGF?

Our model-based fair value for Yadea Group is $3.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $1.07.

What is the quality score of YADGF?

Yadea Group has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Yadea Group (YADGF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.55, optimistic scenario $7.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Yadea Group stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $3.65, about +241% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.55, optimistic scenario $7.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

Yadea Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 37.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into Yadea Group (YADGF)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yadea Group would have to grow free cash flow by -36.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of YADGF use?

Our models discount Yadea Group at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yadea Group that is -36.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Yadea Group (YADGF) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Yadea Group grew +13.2 % a year. The price currently implies -36.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Yadea Group (YADGF) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yadea Group (-36.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 24.53 %: that much free cash flow Yadea Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yadea Group it is $3.65 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.07. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Yadea Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, YADGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.07, fair value $3.65, a gap of about +241% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of YADGF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.65). For Yadea Group the two are $2.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Yadea Group worth?

The market values Yadea Group at about $3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.07; our models calculate a fair value of $3.65 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YADGF?

Our models span a range for Yadea Group: cautious scenario $2.55, base $3.65, optimistic $7.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of YADGF?

Yadea Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 2.4.

How solid is the balance sheet of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

Balance-sheet figures for Yadea Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 30.3%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is YADGF from its 52-week high?

Yadea Group trades at $1.07, about 42% below its 52-week high of $1.84 and 35% above the low of $0.7924 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.65 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Yadea Group?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Yadea Group stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.07, calculated fair value $3.65 (+241%), Quality Score 74/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of YADGF calculated?

We run Yadea Group through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Yadea Group currently trades 71 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $1.07. Our model-based fair value is $3.65, about +241% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Yadea Group right now?

The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.55). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($2.55 to $7.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Where does the earnings growth of Yadea Group (YADGF) come from?

Earnings per share at Yadea Group grew +21.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +18.5 %, EBIT margin +2.9 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Yadea Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

The market capitalisation of Yadea Group is $3.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Yadea Group is 0.60 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

Earnings per share at Yadea Group are $0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

The net margin of Yadea Group is 7.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Yadea Group is 30.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yadea Group is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Yadea Group (YADGF)?

The operating margin of Yadea Group is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Yadea Group (YADGF)?

Revenue at Yadea Group is growing +28.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Yadea Group (YADGF)?

Earnings per share at Yadea Group are growing +425% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Yadea Group (YADGF) carry?

The net debt of Yadea Group is 2.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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