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STOCK COMPARISON

Guoco Group vs 3M: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Guoco Group (0053) and 3M (MMM) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Guoco Group as the less overvalued of the two: Guoco Group trades at HK$71.80 versus a fair value of HK$43.97 (-39%), while 3M trades at $168 versus $71.86 (-57%).
Guoco Group
0053.HK · HKD · Industrials
-39%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceHK$71.80
Fair ValueHK$43.97
Quality65/100
3M
MMM · USD · Industrials
-57%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$168
Fair Value$71.86
Quality62/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Guoco Group3M
Valuation
5.1×P/E (TTM)32.3×
n/aP/E ex one-offs (FY2025)46.4×
1.00×P/S (TTM)3.61×
0.34×P/B19.20× · book value is mostly goodwill
7.9×EV/EBITDA15.4×
1.17×PEG1.67×
−38.8%Fair value upside−57.1%
5.0%Dividend yield1.8%
HK$3.60Dividend per share$2.97
Profitability
10%Operating margin23%
1.34×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.85×
5%Return on equity71%
1%Return on assets8%
Growth
-7%Revenue growth (YoY)1%
17.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)n/a
10.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)n/a
+11.4%Value creation/yr−11.4%
Balance & size
1.8×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)6.3×
0.42×Debt / equity2.33×
$3BMarket cap$90B
healthyGrowth qualitymixed
The P/E excluding one-off items is only shown where the special items are documented in the accounts (our own raw data or SEC filings). If one side lacks it, the reported P/E stays scored.

Guoco Group leads: 10 to 3 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Guoco Groupof which business quality 64 · market factors 61 3Mof which business quality 56 · market factors 56
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
29
62
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
36
32
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
100
33
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
51
37
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
97
97
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
100
65
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
45
52
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
44
53
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
82
100

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyGuoco GroupPrice HK$71.803MPrice $168
DCF Models+46%above the priceHK$105-43%below the price$95.13
Earnings-Based-58%below the priceHK$29.91-55%below the price$75.06
Dividend Discount-26%below the priceHK$53.27-84%below the price$27.44
Multiples-59%below the priceHK$29.65-49%below the price$85.72
Asset-Based-75%below the priceHK$17.82-96%below the price$6.04
Growth DCF+337%above the priceHK$314-68%below the price$53.39
Economic Profit-70%below the priceHK$21.53-52%below the price$80.57
Minimum-75%below the priceHK$17.82-96%below the price$6.04
Maximum+337%above the priceHK$314-43%below the price$95.13
Median-58%below the priceHK$29.91-55%below the price$75.06
Geometric mean-33%below the priceHK$48.10-73%below the price$46.01

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Guoco Group: 8 of 12 models see the stock below the current price.

3M: 12 of 12 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Guoco Group
Price HK$71.80
Fair Value HK$43.97
Bear HK$24.58Bull HK$59.93
3M
Price $168
Fair Value $71.86
Bear $43.30Bull $102

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Guoco Group · Industrials

Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-39% · below median

3M · Industrials

Quality score62 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-57% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Guoco Group as the less overvalued of the two: Guoco Group trades at HK$71.80 versus a fair value of HK$43.97 (-39%), while 3M trades at $168 versus $71.86 (-57%).

Guoco Group has the higher quality score (65/100).

Open Guoco Group live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.