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STOCK COMPARISON

China Shenhua Energy vs HMS Bergbau: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how China Shenhua Energy (601088) and HMS Bergbau (HMU) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees China Shenhua Energy as the less overvalued of the two: China Shenhua Energy trades at ¥48.03 versus a fair value of ¥31.96 (-33%), while HMS Bergbau trades at €39.60 versus €23.80 (-40%).
China Shenhua Energy
601088.SHG · CNY · Energy
-33%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥48.03
Fair Value¥31.96
Quality64/100
HMS Bergbau
HMU.XETRA · EUR · Energy
-40%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€39.60
Fair Value€23.80
Quality47/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

China Shenhua EnergyHMS Bergbau
Valuation
16.2×P/E (TTM)3.3×
19.6×P/E ex one-offs (FY2025)3.3×
3.23×P/S (TTM)0.17×
2.33×P/B2.42×
9.3×EV/EBITDA17.7×
14.94×PEGn/a
−33.5%Fair value upside−39.9%
4.2%Dividend yield2.8%
¥2.01Dividend per share€1.10
Profitability
25%Operating margin1%
0.81×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.92×
12%Return on equity61%
6%Return on assets3%
Growth
1%Revenue growth (YoY)-8%
-5.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)8.0%
4.8%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)35.6%
+9.1%Value creation/yr+38.3%
Balance & size
30.2×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)3.3×
0.07×Debt / equity1.08×
$142BMarket cap$206M
weakGrowth qualityexpensive
The P/E excluding one-off items is only shown where the special items are documented in the accounts (our own raw data or SEC filings). If one side lacks it, the reported P/E stays scored.

China Shenhua Energy leads: 8 to 7 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

China Shenhua Energyof which business quality 62 · market factors 74 HMS Bergbauof which business quality 47 · market factors 42
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
48
67
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
37
48
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
49
5
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
90
53
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
71
33
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
87
85
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
63
29
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
79
15
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
82
84

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyChina Shenhua EnergyPrice ¥48.03HMS BergbauPrice €39.60
DCF Models-36%below the price¥30.62+373%above the price€187
Earnings-Based-23%below the price¥37.12+596%above the price€276
Dividend Discount+21%above the price¥58.18-70%below the price€11.94
Multiples-22%below the price¥37.66-19%below the price€31.88
Asset-Based-69%below the price¥14.97-68%below the price€12.54
Growth DCF-44%below the price¥26.86n/a
Economic Profit-31%below the price¥33.01+165%above the price€105
Growth Earnings-27%below the price¥34.97+692%above the price€313
Minimum-69%below the price¥14.97-70%below the price€11.94
Maximum+21%above the price¥58.18+692%above the price€313
Median-29%below the price¥33.99+165%above the price€105
Geometric mean-33%below the price¥32.20+76%above the price€69.83

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

China Shenhua Energy: 22 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

HMS Bergbau: 9 of 17 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

China Shenhua Energy
Price ¥48.03
Fair Value ¥31.96
Bear ¥22.39Bull ¥44.45
HMS Bergbau
Price €39.60
Fair Value €23.80
Bear €9.32Bull €50.68

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

China Shenhua Energy · Energy

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-33% · below median

HMS Bergbau · Energy

Quality score47 · below median
Fair value upside-40% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees China Shenhua Energy as the less overvalued of the two: China Shenhua Energy trades at ¥48.03 versus a fair value of ¥31.96 (-33%), while HMS Bergbau trades at €39.60 versus €23.80 (-40%).

China Shenhua Energy has the higher quality score (64/100).

Open China Shenhua Energy live analysis →
China Shenhua Energy · HMS Bergbau

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.