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STOCK COMPARISON

Amplitude Energy vs ConocoPhillips: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Amplitude Energy (AEL) and ConocoPhillips (COP) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Amplitude Energy as the less overvalued of the two: Amplitude Energy trades at A$1.81 versus a fair value of A$1.46 (-19%), while ConocoPhillips trades at $129 versus $90.15 (-30%).
Amplitude Energy
AEL.AU · AUD · Energy
-19%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$1.81
Fair ValueA$1.46
Quality41/100
ConocoPhillips
COP · USD · Energy
-30%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$129
Fair Value$90.15
Quality58/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Amplitude EnergyConocoPhillips
Valuation
n/aP/E (TTM)21.7×
n/aP/E ex one-offs (FY2025)21.0×
1.10×P/S (TTM)2.73×
0.81×P/B2.51×
3.5×EV/EBITDA7.6×
n/aPEG0.94×
−19.1%Fair value upside−30.3%
n/aDividend yield2.5%
n/aDividend per share$3.24
Profitability
34%Operating margin22%
-5%Return on equity11%
1%Return on assets6%
Growth
6%Revenue growth (YoY)-5%
9.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-9.3%
27.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)25.6%
n/aValue creation/yr+3.7%
Balance & size
2.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)9.3×
0.78×Debt / equity0.34×
$305MMarket cap$162B
expensiveGrowth qualityweak
The P/E excluding one-off items is only shown where the special items are documented in the accounts (our own raw data or SEC filings). If one side lacks it, the reported P/E stays scored.

Amplitude Energy leads: 8 to 3 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Amplitude Energyof which business quality 39 · market factors 28 ConocoPhillipsof which business quality 61 · market factors 75
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
5
42
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
73
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
45
96
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
27
69
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
67
62
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
42
82
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
27
67
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
14
80
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
38
54

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAmplitude EnergyPrice A$1.81ConocoPhillipsPrice $129
DCF Models+7%close to the priceA$1.93+8%close to the price$140
Earnings-Based-72%below the priceA$0.50-67%below the price$42.34
Dividend Discountn/a-57%below the price$54.97
Multiples-23%below the priceA$1.39-33%below the price$86.74
Asset-Based-53%below the priceA$0.84-73%below the price$35.46
Growth DCF-35%below the priceA$1.17+23%above the price$159
Economic Profit-72%below the priceA$0.50-58%below the price$54.19
Growth Earningsn/a-37%below the price$81.65
Minimum-72%below the priceA$0.50-73%below the price$35.46
Maximum+7%close to the priceA$1.93+23%above the price$159
Median-44%below the priceA$1.01-47%below the price$68.31
Geometric mean-48%below the priceA$0.93-44%below the price$71.81

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Amplitude Energy: 10 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

ConocoPhillips: 20 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Amplitude Energy
Price A$1.81
Fair Value A$1.46
Bear A$0.64Bull A$3.22
ConocoPhillips
Price $129
Fair Value $90.15
Bear $67.61Bull $131

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Amplitude Energy · Energy

Quality score41 · below median
Fair value upside-19% · below median

ConocoPhillips · Energy

Quality score58 · above median
Fair value upside-30% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Amplitude Energy as the less overvalued of the two: Amplitude Energy trades at A$1.81 versus a fair value of A$1.46 (-19%), while ConocoPhillips trades at $129 versus $90.15 (-30%).

ConocoPhillips has the higher quality score (58/100).

Open Amplitude Energy live analysis →
Amplitude Energy · ConocoPhillips

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.