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STOCK COMPARISON

BHP Group vs Mitchell Services: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how BHP Group (BHP) and Mitchell Services (MSV) compare, as of Sep 14, 2026.

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £32.31 versus a fair value of £18.91 (-41%), while Mitchell Services trades at A$0.57 versus A$0.11 (-81%).
BHP Group
BHP.LSE · GBX · Materials
-41%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price£32.31
Fair Value£18.91
Quality64/100
Mitchell Services
MSV.AU · AUD · Materials
-81%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$0.57
Fair ValueA$0.11
Quality59/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

BHP GroupMitchell Services
Valuation
19.8×P/E (TTM)12.8×
3.85×P/S (TTM)0.38×
4.50×P/B1.25×
8.2×EV/EBITDA2.3×
−41.5%Fair value upside−80.5%
4.0%Dividend yield7.9%
£1.33Dividend per shareA$0.04
Profitability
41%Operating margin10%
1.19×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.43×
25%Return on equity14%
12%Return on assets7%
Growth
11%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
-7.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)7.4%
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)14.5%
+6.1%Value creation/yr−40.2%
Balance & size
10.4×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)25.5×
0.44×Debt / equity
$208BMarket cap$77M
weakGrowth qualityexpensive

Mitchell Services leads: 5 to 9 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

BHP Groupof which business quality 63 · market factors 75 Mitchell Servicesof which business quality 58 · market factors 78
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
58
51
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
34
12
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
75
38
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
67
77
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
61
85
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
69
57
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
69
80
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
93
99
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
81
96

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyBHP GroupPrice £32.31Mitchell ServicesPrice A$0.57
DCF Models-16%below the price£27.19-33%below the priceA$0.38
Earnings-Based-22%below the price£25.15-88%below the priceA$0.07
Dividend Discount-39%below the price£19.67n/a
Multiples-11%close to the price£28.74-34%below the priceA$0.38
Asset-Based-81%below the price£6.10-66%below the priceA$0.19
Growth DCF-30%below the price£22.49n/a
Economic Profit-36%below the price£20.84-42%below the priceA$0.33
Growth Earnings-21%below the price£25.38-91%below the priceA$0.05
Minimum-81%below the price£6.10-91%below the priceA$0.05
Maximum-11%close to the price£28.74-33%below the priceA$0.38
Median-26%below the price£23.82-54%below the priceA$0.26
Geometric mean-37%below the price£20.23-69%below the priceA$0.18

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

BHP Group: 21 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Mitchell Services: 12 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

BHP Group
Price £32.31
Fair Value £18.91
Bear £12.95Bull £26.55
Mitchell Services
Price A$0.57
Fair Value A$0.11
Bear A$0.06Bull A$0.11

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

BHP Group · Materials

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-41% · below median

Mitchell Services · Materials

Quality score59 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-81% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £32.31 versus a fair value of £18.91 (-41%), while Mitchell Services trades at A$0.57 versus A$0.11 (-81%).

BHP Group has the higher quality score (64/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.