Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Cairn Energy (CRNZF) and Cnooc (0883) compare, as of Aug 11, 2026.
As of Aug 11, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Cnooc as the more attractively valued of the two: Cairn Energy trades at $5.07 versus a fair value of $4.04 (-20%), while Cnooc trades at HK$23.40 versus HK$26.35 (+13%).
Cairn Energy
CRNZF · USD · Energy
-20%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$5.07
Fair Value$4.04
Quality62/100
Cnooc
0883.HK · HKD · Energy
+13%
upside to fair value
undervalued
PriceHK$23.40
Fair ValueHK$26.35
Quality63/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Cairn EnergyCnooc
Valuation
18.8×P/E (TTM)7.7×
2.20×P/S (TTM)2.67×
0.79×P/B1.35×
2.5×EV/EBITDA4.3×
—PEG0.16×
—Dividend yield5.0%
—Dividend per shareHK$1.15
Profitability
14%Net margin31%
11%Operating margin45%
5%Return on equity15%
2%Return on assets9%
Growth
-26%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
-15.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.7%
—Avg. growth/yr (5Y)20.0%
Balance & size
0.08×Debt / equity0.07×
$297MMarket cap$139B
weakGrowth qualityexpensive
Cnooc leads: 3 to 8 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Cairn Energyof which business quality 63 · market factors 89Cnoocof which business quality 64 · market factors 58
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
30
55
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
27
36
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
67
40
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
73
83
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
94
42
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
100
58
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
79
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Cairn Energy
DCF Models$13.78
Earnings-Based$9.90
Dividend Discount$8.29
Multiples$3.94
Asset-Based$3.65
Growth DCF$14.54
Economic Profit$3.49
Growth Earnings$11.60
9 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.
Cnooc
DCF ModelsHK$41.36
Earnings-BasedHK$27.87
Dividend DiscountHK$25.25
MultiplesHK$33.44
Asset-BasedHK$12.08
Growth DCFHK$33.29
Economic ProfitHK$32.53
Growth EarningsHK$33.61
8 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Cairn Energy
Bear $4.00Fair Value $4.04Bull $4.95
$5.07 = current price (white tick)
Cnooc
Bear HK$19.80Fair Value HK$26.35Bull HK$33.85
HK$23.40 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Cairn Energy · Energy
Quality score62 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-20% · below median
Cnooc · Energy
Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+13% · above median
Bottom line
As of Aug 11, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Cnooc as the more attractively valued of the two: Cairn Energy trades at $5.07 versus a fair value of $4.04 (-20%), while Cnooc trades at HK$23.40 versus HK$26.35 (+13%).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
