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STOCK COMPARISON

Castlecap Capital vs Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.): Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Castlecap Capital (CSTL-P) and Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.) (LION) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.) as the more attractively valued of the two: Castlecap Capital trades at C$0.06 versus a fair value of C$0.02 (-57%), while Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.) trades at $10.98 versus $15.02 (+37%).
Castlecap Capital
CSTL-P.V · CAD · Financials
-57%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceC$0.06
Fair ValueC$0.02
Quality60/100
Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)
LION · USD · Communication Services
+37%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$10.98
Fair Value$15.02
Quality31/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Castlecap CapitalLionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)
Valuation
0.6×P/E (TTM)n/a
74.02×P/S (TTM)n/a
0.23×P/BNegative equity
n/aEV/EBITDA5.2×
−56.5%Fair value upside+36.8%
Profitability
n/aOperating margin0%
n/aEBIT margin trend (5Y)1.12×
140%Return on equityNegative equity
83%Return on assets0%
Growth
0%Revenue growth (YoY)0%
n/aAvg. growth/yr (3Y)5.6%
Balance & size
n/aInterest coverage (EBIT/interest)0.6×
n/aDebt / equityNegative equity
$0MMarket cap$4B
weakGrowth qualitymixed
Valuation multiples (P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA) are shown but not scored here: the two companies sit in different sectors, and multiples only compare fairly between similar business models. PEG stays scored, as it relates the P/E to growth.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Castlecap Capitalof which business quality 63 · market factors 55 Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)of which business quality 31 · market factors 52
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
61
18
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
25
28
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
100
18
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
75
4
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
0
85
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
50
27
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
48
56
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
75
74
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
82
70

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyCastlecap CapitalPrice C$0.06Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)Price $10.98
DCF Modelsn/a+102%above the price$22.20
Earnings-Based+173%above the priceC$0.15n/a
Multiples+218%above the priceC$0.18+9%close to the price$11.93
Asset-Based-9%close to the priceC$0.05n/a
Growth DCFn/a+46%above the price$16.02
Economic Profit+136%above the priceC$0.13n/a
Minimum-9%close to the priceC$0.05+9%close to the price$11.93
Maximum+218%above the priceC$0.18+102%above the price$22.20
Median+155%above the priceC$0.14+46%above the price$16.02
Geometric mean+108%above the priceC$0.11+47%above the price$16.19

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Castlecap Capital: 1 of 5 models see the stock below the current price.

Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.): 3 of 9 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Castlecap Capital
Price C$0.06
Fair Value C$0.02
Bear C$0.02Bull C$0.03
Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)
Price $10.98
Fair Value $15.02
Bear $10.34Bull $32.01

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Castlecap Capital · Financials

Quality score60 · above median
Fair value upside-57% · bottom 25%

Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.) · Communication Services

Quality score31 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside+37% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.) as the more attractively valued of the two: Castlecap Capital trades at C$0.06 versus a fair value of C$0.02 (-57%), while Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.) trades at $10.98 versus $15.02 (+37%).

Castlecap Capital has the higher quality score (60/100).

Open Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.) live analysis →
Castlecap Capital · Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.