Lionheart III Corp (LION) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $3.9B
Lionheart III Corp
LION · US
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from $13.88 to $18.15 (+30.8%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −4.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 40% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- A fairly wide model range ($10.34 to $25.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range $5.59 – $16.40 · fair‑value band $10.34 – $25.95 · the $12.97 price screens below the $18.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Lionheart III Corp (LION) currently trades at $12.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.15, implying the stock looks roughly 39.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Net debt stands at $3.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.34 (bear case) to $25.95 (bull case); at $12.97, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 134% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at 40%, LION screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($27.40) versus Multiples ($0.4000). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lionheart III Corp does not have significant operations. It intends to effect a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Miami, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lionheart III Corp reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $2.7B in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$198M in FY2025.
Watch LION: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Has Lionsgate Studios (LION) Run Ahead Of Its Fundamentals After The Recent Pullback?
- Lionsgate Stock Surges on Buyout Buzz. How to Play LION Here.
- Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION) Moves 5.0% Higher: Will This Strength Last?
Peer Group
Shell Companies · 71 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Shell Companies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company COLA | C$27.96 | C$10.91 | -61% |
| Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation ANSC | $11.45 | $4.13 | -64% |
| AA Mission Acquisition Corp AAM | $0.0320 | $0.0314 | -2% |
| GP-Act III Acquisition Corp GPAT | $10.91 | $4.30 | -61% |
| Berto Acquisition Corp TACO | $10.48 | $2.73 | -74% |
| Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp AXIN | $10.29 | $1.46 | -86% |
| Bold Eagle Acquisition Corp BEAG | $10.67 | $4.00 | -63% |
| Lionheart Holdings CUB | $10.80 | $5.06 | -53% |
| Graf Global Corp GRAF | $10.82 | $3.63 | -66% |
| Translational Development Acquisition Corp TDAC | $10.74 | $4.28 | -60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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