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STOCK COMPARISON

Lundin Gold vs Newmont: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Lundin Gold (LUG) and Newmont (NEM) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Newmont as the less overvalued of the two: Lundin Gold trades at C$86.70 versus a fair value of C$53.76 (-38%), while Newmont trades at A$149 versus A$117 (-22%).
Lundin Gold
LUG.TO · CAD · Materials
-38%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceC$86.70
Fair ValueC$53.76
Quality74/100
Newmont
NEM.AU · AUD · Materials
-22%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$149
Fair ValueA$117
Quality70/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Lundin GoldNewmont
Valuation
14.4×P/E (TTM)11.6×
6.69×P/S (TTM)3.92×
9.79×P/B2.89×
9.3×EV/EBITDA5.8×
PEG2.63×
4.2%Dividend yield0.8%
C$3.19Dividend per shareA$1.02
Profitability
46%Net margin34%
69%Operating margin61%
68%Return on equity26%
47%Return on assets15%
Growth
59%Revenue growth (YoY)46%
30.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)25.3%
38.3%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)15.3%
Balance & size
0.16×Debt / equity0.15×
$13BMarket cap$98B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

Lundin Gold leads: 8 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Lundin Goldof which business quality 82 · market factors 47 Newmontof which business quality 70 · market factors 61
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
95
63
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
80
98
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
87
81
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
79
85
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
63
22
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
16
63
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
54
49
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
68
78
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
75
50

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Lundin Gold

DCF ModelsC$115
Earnings-BasedC$117
Dividend DiscountC$49.14
MultiplesC$43.11
Asset-BasedC$3.77
Growth DCFC$88.19
Economic ProfitC$39.11
Growth EarningsC$150

15 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Newmont

DCF ModelsA$233
Earnings-BasedA$155
MultiplesA$116
Asset-BasedA$21.27
Growth DCFA$164
Economic ProfitA$86.58
Growth EarningsA$201

11 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Lundin Gold
Bear C$40.74Fair Value C$53.76Bull C$114
C$86.70 = current price (white tick)
Newmont
Bear A$87.57Fair Value A$117Bull A$245
A$149 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Lundin Gold · Materials

Quality score74 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-38% · below median

Newmont · Materials

Quality score70 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-22% · above median

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Newmont as the less overvalued of the two: Lundin Gold trades at C$86.70 versus a fair value of C$53.76 (-38%), while Newmont trades at A$149 versus A$117 (-22%).

Lundin Gold has the higher quality score (74/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.