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STOCK COMPARISON

Mastercard vs Visa: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Mastercard (MA) and Visa (V) compare, as of Nov 5, 2026.

As of Nov 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Visa as the less overvalued of the two: Mastercard trades at $656 versus a fair value of $360 (−45.1%), while Visa trades at $423 versus $243 (−42.5%).
Mastercard
MA · USD · Financials
−45.1%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$656
Fair Value$360
Quality85/100
Fair ValueQualityUptrend
Visa
V · USD · Financials
−42.5%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$423
Fair Value$243
Quality88/100
Fair ValueQualityUptrend
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

MastercardVisa
Valuation
34.1×P/E (TTM)33.3×
28.4×Forward P/E24.7×
35.7×Median P/E at FY-end (10 FY, ex one-offs where documented)31.2×
15.96×P/S (TTM)18.36×
n/aP/B22.62× · book value is mostly goodwill
25.5×EV/EBITDA26.5×
1.66×PEG1.81×
−45.1%Fair value upside−42.5%
0.5%Dividend yield0.7%
$3.48Dividend per share$2.79
Profitability
60.5%Operating margin0.0%
1.12×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.93×
231.4%Return on equity63.5%
27.6%Return on assets24.9%
Growth
14.0%Revenue growth (YoY)13.2%
13.8%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)12.0%
16.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)13.7%
+17.0%Value creation/yr+18.8%
Balance & size
26.9×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)37.1×
2.36×Debt / equity0.54×
$579BMarket cap$817B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy
Mastercard, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 7 of the years ex one-offs: 35.7. Visa, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 31.2.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

Mastercard leads: 8 to 7 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Mastercard Visa
ProfitabilityHow much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
86
80
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns getting better?
72
73
CashflowDo the profits arrive as real cash?
86
83
Financial strengthDebt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
65
66
InvestmentDoes it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
69
95
Low VolatilityHow calm the share price moves, does not count
81
81
Price momentumPrice momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
62
65
Near the 52-week highDistance to the 52-week high, does not count
73
76
New sharesBuys back shares or issues new ones?
98
100

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyMastercardPrice $656VisaPrice $423
DCF Models−45.1%below the price$360−42.5%below the price$243
Earnings-Based−38.1%below the price$406−27.8%below the price$305
Dividend Discount−90.2%below the price$64.12−86.0%below the price$59.26
Multiples−65.7%below the price$225−58.2%below the price$177
Growth DCF−45.2%below the price$359−45.6%below the price$230
Economic Profit−92.2%below the price$51.06−72.7%below the price$115
Matching families6 of 6
Minimum−92.2%below the price$51.06−86.0%below the price$59.26
Maximum−38.1%below the price$406−27.8%below the price$305
Median−55.5%below the price$292−51.9%below the price$203
Geometric mean−72.0%below the price$184−60.8%below the price$166
Ahead family by family1 of 65 of 6

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean only use the families both stocks have (matching families: 6 of 6), so a family without a value on one side does not distort the comparison. Ahead in a family is the stock whose fair value there sits higher relative to its price. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Family by family: Visa is ahead in 5 of 6 shared families, Mastercard in 1.

Mastercard: 11 of 11 models see the stock below the current price.

Visa: 10 of 11 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Mastercard
Price $656
Fair Value $360
Bear $169Bull $564
Visa
Price $423
Fair Value $243
Bear $133Bull $362

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Mastercard · Financials

Quality score85 · Top 25%
Fair value upside−45.1% · bottom 25%

Visa · Financials

Quality score88 · Top 25%
Fair value upside−42.5% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Nov 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Visa as the less overvalued of the two: Mastercard trades at $656 versus a fair value of $360 (−45.1%), while Visa trades at $423 versus $243 (−42.5%).

Visa has the higher quality score (88/100).

Open Visa live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.