Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) vs UPM-Kymmene Oyj: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-A) and UPM-Kymmene Oyj (UPM) compare, as of Oct 3, 2026.
Head-to-head numbers
Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.
betterweakerfor reference, not scored
UPM-Kymmene Oyj leads: 6 to 10 metric wins.
n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
What the models say
How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.
▲above the price, more than 15% above ●close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price ▼below the price, more than 15% below
| Model family | Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)Price SEK 119 | UPM-Kymmene OyjPrice €24.85 |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Models | ▼−76.7%below the priceSEK 27.68 | ▼−40.8%below the price€14.71 |
| Earnings-Based | ▼−81.6%below the priceSEK 21.94 | ▼−83.1%below the price€4.21 |
| Dividend Discount | n/a | ▼−34.8%below the price€16.20 |
| Multiples | ▼−62.1%below the priceSEK 45.05 | ▼−37.8%below the price€15.45 |
| Asset-Based | ▼−18.6%below the priceSEK 96.89 | ▼−48.9%below the price€12.71 |
| Growth DCF | ▼−83.6%below the priceSEK 19.50 | ▼−30.3%below the price€17.31 |
| Economic Profit | ▼−53.8%below the priceSEK 54.98 | ▼−68.0%below the price€7.94 |
| Growth Earnings | ▼−50.2%below the priceSEK 59.24 | ▼−52.5%below the price€11.81 |
| Minimum | ▼−83.6%below the priceSEK 19.50 | ▼−83.1%below the price€4.21 |
| Maximum | ▼−18.6%below the priceSEK 96.89 | ▼−30.3%below the price€17.31 |
| Median | ▼−62.1%below the priceSEK 45.05 | ▼−44.8%below the price€13.71 |
| Geometric mean | ▼−66.3%below the priceSEK 40.15 | ▼−53.5%below the price€11.56 |
Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ): 22 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.
UPM-Kymmene Oyj: 24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) · Materials
UPM-Kymmene Oyj · Materials
Bottom line
As of Oct 3, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees UPM-Kymmene Oyj as the less overvalued of the two: Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) trades at SEK 119 versus a fair value of SEK 60.49 (−49.2%), while UPM-Kymmene Oyj trades at €24.85 versus €21.20 (−14.7%).
UPM-Kymmene Oyj has the higher quality score (60/100).
Open UPM-Kymmene Oyj live analysis →More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.