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STOCK COMPARISON

Smurfit WestRock vs TCPL Packaging: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Smurfit WestRock (SW) and TCPL Packaging (TCPLPACK) compare, as of Oct 2, 2026.

As of Oct 2, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Smurfit WestRock as the more attractively valued of the two: Smurfit WestRock trades at $43.04 versus a fair value of $44.08 (+2.4%), while TCPL Packaging trades at ₹3,927 versus ₹1,988 (−49.4%).
Smurfit WestRock
SW · USD · Materials
+2.4%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
Price$43.04
Fair Value$44.08
Quality39/100
TCPL Packaging
TCPLPACK.NSE · INR · Materials
−49.4%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price₹3,927
Fair Value₹1,988
Quality49/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Smurfit WestRockTCPL Packaging
Valuation
45.8×P/E (TTM)31.0×
12.5×Forward P/E (FY2027)n/a
19.1×Median P/E at FY-end (9 FY, ex one-offs where documented)n/a
0.78×P/S (TTM)1.90×
1.13×P/B4.97×
8.0×EV/EBITDA12.5×
0.28×PEGn/a
+2.4%Fair value upside−49.4%
4.1%Dividend yield0.6%
$1.77Dividend per share₹25.00
Profitability
5.5%Operating margin12.8%
0.68×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.47×
2.7%Return on equity14.4%
2.6%Return on assets8.2%
Growth
1.1%Revenue growth (YoY)16.1%
35.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)7.4%
29.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)15.2%
+1.0%Value creation/yr+22.4%
Balance & size
2.6×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)2.6×
0.62×Debt / equity0.34×
$24BMarket cap$371M
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy
Smurfit WestRock, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 4 of the years ex one-offs: 19.1.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Smurfit WestRockof which business quality 40 · market factors 47 TCPL Packagingof which business quality 49 · market factors 72
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
26
52
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
74
28
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
44
44
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
35
49
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
24
38
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
51
64
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
45
81
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
48
66
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
42
82

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familySmurfit WestRockPrice $43.04TCPL PackagingPrice ₹3,927
DCF Models+5.5%close to the price$45.40−30.6%below the price₹2,726
Earnings-Based−64.2%below the price$15.40−58.5%below the price₹1,631
Dividend Discount−29.9%below the price$30.18−89.7%below the price₹403
Multiples−37.1%below the price$27.09−41.8%below the price₹2,287
Asset-Based−36.1%below the price$27.50−86.5%below the price₹530
Growth DCF+10.2%close to the price$47.44−26.9%below the price₹2,871
Economic Profit−44.3%below the price$23.97−64.8%below the price₹1,382
Growth Earnings−53.5%below the price$20.01−43.3%below the price₹2,226
Minimum−64.2%below the price$15.40−89.7%below the price₹403
Maximum+10.2%close to the price$47.44−26.9%below the price₹2,871
Median−36.6%below the price$27.29−50.9%below the price₹1,928
Geometric mean−35.4%below the price$27.81−63.2%below the price₹1,447

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Smurfit WestRock: 18 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

TCPL Packaging: 25 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Smurfit WestRock
Price $43.04
Fair Value $44.08
Bear $25.09Bull $45.04
TCPL Packaging
Price ₹3,927
Fair Value ₹1,988
Bear ₹1,296Bull ₹2,894

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Smurfit WestRock · Materials

Quality score39 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside+2.4% · above median

TCPL Packaging · Materials

Quality score49 · below median
Fair value upside−49.4% · below median

Bottom line

As of Oct 2, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Smurfit WestRock as the more attractively valued of the two: Smurfit WestRock trades at $43.04 versus a fair value of $44.08 (+2.4%), while TCPL Packaging trades at ₹3,927 versus ₹1,988 (−49.4%).

TCPL Packaging has the higher quality score (49/100).

Open Smurfit WestRock live analysis →

More comparisons

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.