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TCPL Packaging Limited (TCPLPACK) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹27.0B

TP TCPL Packaging Limited TCPLPACK · NSE
Price₹2,957
Fair Value₹1,831
Upside-38.1%
Quality50/100
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Evidence: High Range ₹1,285 – ₹2,894

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +17.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

₹3,841 ₹2,214 Fair Value ₹1,831 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ₹2,214 – ₹3,841 · fair‑value band ₹1,285 – ₹2,894 · the ₹2,957 price screens above the ₹1,831 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

TCPL Packaging Limited (TCPLPACK) currently trades at ₹2,957, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,831 — implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, TCPL Packaging Limited generated revenue of ₹18.1B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. Net debt stands at ₹6.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹18.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.5%
Net margin 5.4%
Return on equity 14.4%
Free cash flow ₹621M FY2026
P/E ratio 27.7
More key figures
Operating margin 10.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹107.42
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -42.9%
Net debt ₹6.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

TCPL Packaging Limited manufactures and sells paperboard-based packaging materials and flexible packaging products in India. It offers folding cartons, printed blanks and outers, litho-laminated cartons, blister packs, plastic cartons, and shelf-ready packaging products; food and pharma packaging products; flexible packaging products, such as laminates, shrink sleeves, wrap-around labels, pouches, and printed cork-tipping papers; and rigid box and specialty gift packaging products. The company also exports its products. It serves tobacco, FMCG, food and beverage, liquor, and pharmaceutical industries. The company was formerly known as Twenty First Century Printers Ltd and changed its name to TCPL Packaging Limited in September 2008. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

TCPL Packaging Limited reported revenue of ₹18.1B in FY2026 versus ₹10.7B in FY2022, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹978M in FY2026, compounding +19.9%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +14.0%/yr
FY22 ₹10.7B
FY23 ₹14.6B
FY24 ₹15.2B
FY25 ₹17.7B
FY26 ₹18.1B
Net income +19.9%/yr
FY22 ₹473M
FY23 ₹1.1B
FY24 ₹1.0B
FY25 ₹1.4B
FY26 ₹978M

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Similar stocks

6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF $44.20 $27.40 -38%
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $45.39 $26.28 -42%
Packaging Corporation PKG $222.82 $105.48 -53%
International Paper Company IP $36.89 $84.00 +128%
Amcor plc AMCR $38.17 $17.00 -55%
Ball Corporation B1LL34 R$146.83 R$18.44 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TCPL Packaging Limited (TCPLPACK) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,831 versus a price of ₹2,957 — about −38% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TCPLPACK?
Our model-based fair value for TCPL Packaging Limited is ₹1,831 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹2,957.
What is the quality score of TCPLPACK?
TCPL Packaging Limited has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of TCPL Packaging Limited (TCPLPACK)?
TCPL Packaging Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹18.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TCPLPACK?
The net profit margin of TCPL Packaging Limited is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does TCPL Packaging Limited pay a dividend?
TCPL Packaging Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.84% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 3, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.