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Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd ¥2.20, price ¥9.24, upside -76.2%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000000628

GY Some data Sep 24, 2026

Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd

000691 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥2.20 · Strongly overvalued (−76%)
!Quality 55/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.0% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥13.17 ¥2.45 Fair Value ¥2.20 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.45 – ¥13.17 · fair‑value band ¥1.68 – ¥3.01 · the ¥9.24 price screens above the ¥2.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Gansu Yatai Industrial Developent Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of fine chemical products in China, the rest of Asia, South America, and Europe.

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Gansu Yatai Industrial Developent Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of fine chemical products in China, the rest of Asia, South America, and Europe. The company offers pyridine derivatives, nitrated derivatives, and other chemical products, as well as pharmaceutical intermediates and pesticide intermediates. It serves the pesticide, medicine, and feed additives industries. The company was formerly known as Hainan Yatai Industrial Development Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co.,Ltd. in December 2021. Gansu Yatai Industrial Developent Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691) currently trades at ¥9.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.20, implying the stock looks roughly 320.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥1.79 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥9.24 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.6200, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥1.68 (bear) to ¥3.01 (bull), the price of ¥9.24 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd reported revenue of 521M CNY in FY2025 versus 522M CNY in FY2021, a compound 0.0%/yr. Reported net income was −35.8M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.1B CNY (≈ $761M) · P/S ratio 8.87 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −6.9% · Return on equity −3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.9% · Operating margin 7.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 125% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at −76%, 000691 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.68 Fair Value ¥2.20 Bull ¥3.01
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.76 ¥2.46 ¥3.58 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.48 ¥1.79 ¥2.46 71
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.4700 ¥0.6200 ¥0.9300 54
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.4700 ¥0.6200 ¥0.9300 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.76 ¥2.46 ¥3.58 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.48 ¥1.79 ¥2.46 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.6%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.4% a year
Revenue growth 32 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.0% (2020) → −2.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+67.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +64.2% a year for the price.

000691 screens 320% overvalued. Compare with 3M Company →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 382 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 60% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.69× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.32× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 54.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)5 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

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3M Company MMM $169.30 $71.86 −58%
Honeywell International Inc HON $211.85 $243.57 +15%
CITIC Limited 0267 HK$13.21 HK$26.42 +100%
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €25.61 €7.65 −70%
Swire Pacific Limited 0019 HK$102.00 HK$28.34 −72%
SK Inc 034730 611,000 KRW 360,206 KRW −41%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,780 IDR 9,560 IDR +100%
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $57.30 $79.11 +38%
SGH Limited SGH A$36.69 A$42.47 +16%
Kingdom Holding 4280 13.07 SAR 12.96 SAR −1%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000691

Frequently asked questions

Is Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.20 versus a price of ¥9.24, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000691?
Our model-based fair value for Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is ¥2.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.24.
What is the quality score of 000691?
Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.68, optimistic scenario ¥3.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.20, about −76% upside versus a price of ¥9.24 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.68, optimistic scenario ¥3.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 575M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +67.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 000691 use?
Our models discount Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd at 12.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd that is +67.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd grew +14.4 % a year. The price currently implies +67.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (+67.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.47 %: that much free cash flow Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd it is ¥2.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥9.24. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 000691 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.24, fair value ¥2.20, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000691?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.20). For Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd the two are ¥7.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd worth?
The market values Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd at about 5.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.24; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000691?
Our models span a range for Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.68, base ¥2.20, optimistic ¥3.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥9.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.4%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000691 from its 52-week high?
Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd trades at ¥9.24, about 29% below its 52-week high of ¥13.03 and 125% above the low of ¥4.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥9.24, calculated fair value ¥2.20 (−76%), Quality Score 55/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000691 calculated?
We run Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥9.24. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.20, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
The market capitalisation of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is 5.1B CNY (≈ $761M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is 8.87 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
Earnings per share at Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd are ¥−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
The dividend yield of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
The net margin of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is −6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is −5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
The operating margin of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
Revenue at Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is growing +59.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691)?
Earnings per share at Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd are growing +177% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd (000691) carry?
The net debt of Gansu Yatai Industrial Development Co Ltd is 84.4M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 6.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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