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Hitachi Ltd ADR (HTHIY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $135B · ISIN US4335785071

What is Hitachi Ltd ADR really worth?

HL Hitachi Ltd ADR logo Hitachi Ltd ADR HTHIY · US
Price$34.66
Fair Value$33.47
Upside−3.4%
Quality67/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $33.47.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/12)

Risks

!Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
!Moderate moat 54/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 29 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 21 out of 100

For context

·1.05% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $22.86 – $42.38

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 5, 2026, revised from $32.94 to $33.47 (+1.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −0.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($22.86 to $42.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$37.11 $7.41 Fair Value $33.47 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.41 – $37.11 · fair‑value band $22.86 – $42.38 · the $34.66 price screens above the $33.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Hitachi Ltd ADR (HTHIY) currently trades at $34.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.47, implying the stock looks roughly 3.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 22 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hitachi Ltd ADR generated revenue of $10.6T at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $316B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $22.86 (bear case) to $42.38 (bull case); at $34.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −3%, HTHIY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF best evidence $3,393 $4,494 $6,398 79
Owner Earnings $2,175 $2,912 $4,291 77
Rev-Margin DCF $2,794 $3,975 $5,441 73
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2,175 $2,912 $4,291 77
5Y P/E Exit $3,451 $5,039 $6,908 71
10Y P/E Exit $3,355 $4,633 $5,951 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1,287 $2,231 $2,732 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3,973 $5,297 $6,622 63
P/B Multiple $2,412 $3,216 $4,020 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $733.51 $982.90 $1,467 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF best evidence $3,393 $4,494 $6,398 79
Rev-Margin DCF $2,794 $3,975 $5,441 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,391 $1,699 $3,726 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($4,633) versus Asset-Based ($982.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 31.5
P/S ratio 2.39 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.10 price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.5
Dividend yield 1.1% payout 33.1%
Net margin 7.6% FY2026
Return on equity 13.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 12.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $10.6T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.3% 3y avg +1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −10.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.4T FY2026
Net cash $316B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Hitachi, Ltd. provides digital system and services, green energy and mobility, and connective industry solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through Digital Systems & Services, Green Energy & Mobility, Connective Industries, and Others segments.

Full company description

Hitachi, Ltd. provides digital system and services, green energy and mobility, and connective industry solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through Digital Systems & Services, Green Energy & Mobility, Connective Industries, and Others segments. The company offers system integration, consulting, cloud services, storage, servers, software, and ATMs; finance solutions, social infrastructure information systems, public IT solutions, industrial internet of things, digital engineering, control system, and cloud services; and IT products, such as data management and storage. It also provides power grids, clean, nuclear, renewable energy, and railway systems, such as rolling stock, signaling, supervision, telecommunications, and ticketing and payment solutions; automotive automation, including automotive assembly, glass applications, press automation, powertrain, paint and sealer applications, and tyre and wheel systems; and emobility solutions, as well as elevators and escalators, home appliances, air conditioners, industry and distribution solution, water and environment solutions, and industrial machinery. In addition, the company offers semiconductor manufacturing equipment; electron microscopes and atomic force microscopes; analytical systems, such as spectrophotometers, thermal analysis and chromatography systems, x-ray fluorescence analyzers, silicon drift detectors, potentiometric titrator, laser induced breakdown spectroscopy, and magnetic induction devices; clinical analyzers, and treatment and diagnostics solutions; and property management and other services. The company serves semiconductors, automotive , electrical, chemical and pharmaceuticals, healthcare, life-sciences, ICT, metals and mining, engineering and manufacturing, oils and petrochemicals, nonmetal materials, energy and batteries, environment, recycling, food and beverage, utilities, and other industries. Hitachi, Ltd. was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hitachi Ltd ADR reported revenue of $11.2T in FY2026 versus $10.3T in FY2022, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was $851B in FY2026, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$11.2T
Latest YoY
+14.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+13.6% (12.5 + 1.1)
Revenue +2.3%/yr
FY22 $10.3T
FY23 $10.9T
FY24 $9.7T
FY25 $9.8T
FY26 $11.2T
Net income +9.9%/yr
FY22 $583B
FY23 $649B
FY24 $590B
FY25 $616B
FY26 $851B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +14.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.2 %

of which total revenue +0.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.5 %

EBIT margin +5.0 %
Tax rate +1.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +6.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hitachi Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HTHIY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 375 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.52× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE29 · sector 25
FUTURE57 · sector 17
PAST53 · sector 17
HEALTH94 · sector 89
DIVIDEND21 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

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Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €26.90 €7.65 −72%
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CK Hutchison Holdings 0001 HK$69.85 HK$100.46 +44%
SK Inc 034730 553,000 KRW 615,077 KRW +11%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,800 IDR 9,600 IDR +100%
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $59.10 $79.11 +34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hitachi Ltd ADR (HTHIY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.47 versus a price of $34.66, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HTHIY?
Our model-based fair value for Hitachi Ltd ADR is $33.47 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $34.66.
What is the quality score of HTHIY?
Hitachi Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hitachi Ltd ADR (HTHIY)?
Hitachi Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.6T (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HTHIY?
The net profit margin of Hitachi Ltd ADR is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hitachi Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Hitachi Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.05% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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