SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of SenseTime Group Inc Class B HK$0.16, price HK$1.30, upside -87.6%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range HK$0.5800 – HK$8.20 · fair‑value band HK$0.1105 – HK$0.2040 · the HK$1.30 price screens above the HK$0.1615 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SenseTime Group Inc., an investment holding company, research, develops and sells artificial intelligence software platforms in Mainland China, Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, and internationally.
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SenseTime Group Inc., an investment holding company, research, develops and sells artificial intelligence software platforms in Mainland China, Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company offers SenseFoundry Enterprise Platform that facilitate and accelerate the digital transformation of enterprise customers; SenseFoundry Platform for smart city management; SenseME that enables a range of IoT devices to facilitate perceptial intelligence and content enhancement; SenseMARS, a software platform that serves as the key enabling technology platform for the Metaverse; SenseCare Smart Health Platform, a diagnostic and treatment assistance solution; Sensetime Education that builds a leading AI education system; SenseMart, an AI-powered smart vending cooler end-to-end solution provider; and SenseAuto Platform, an automotive application platform; and SenseNova products and services. It also offers artificial intelligence data center services; software development services; information transportation; and software and information services; and sells software-embedded hardware and related services. In addition, the company is involved in private equity investments; and the development of computer vision technology, as well as research and development of AI technology. Further, it develops and sells software products, AI sensor technology, and system integration technology; and sells hardware products. SenseTime Group Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020) currently trades at HK$1.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1615, implying the stock looks roughly 705.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1105 (bear) to HK$0.2040 (bull), the price of HK$1.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SenseTime Group Inc Class B reported revenue of 5.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.8B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$54.3B (≈ $6.9B) · P/S ratio 10.8 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0400 · Net margin −35.2% · Return on equity −7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.9% · Operating margin −52.4% · Revenue (TTM) 5.0B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −88%, 0020 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1105Fair Value HK$0.1615Bull HK$0.2040
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−52.6% (2020) → −29.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare SenseTime Group Inc Class B with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 720 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−87% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−35% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−52% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth31% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.26× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.38× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SenseTime Group Inc Class B Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0020
Frequently asked questions
Is SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1615 versus a price of HK$1.30, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0020?
Our model-based fair value for SenseTime Group Inc Class B is HK$0.1615 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.30.
What is the quality score of 0020?
SenseTime Group Inc Class B has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1615 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1105, optimistic scenario HK$0.2040. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SenseTime Group Inc Class B stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1615, about −88% upside versus a price of HK$1.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1105, optimistic scenario HK$0.2040. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
SenseTime Group Inc Class B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SenseTime Group Inc Class B it is HK$0.1615 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.30. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SenseTime Group Inc Class B stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0020 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.30, fair value HK$0.1615, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0020?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1615). For SenseTime Group Inc Class B the two are HK$1.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SenseTime Group Inc Class B worth?
The market values SenseTime Group Inc Class B at about HK$54.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.30; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1615 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0020?
Our models span a range for SenseTime Group Inc Class B: cautious scenario HK$0.1105, base HK$0.1615, optimistic HK$0.2040 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
Balance-sheet figures for SenseTime Group Inc Class B (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −7.0%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0020 from its 52-week high?
SenseTime Group Inc Class B trades at HK$1.30, about 55% below its 52-week high of HK$2.89 and 8% above the low of HK$1.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1615 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SenseTime Group Inc Class B?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SenseTime Group Inc Class B stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.30, calculated fair value HK$0.1615 (−88%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0020 calculated?
We run SenseTime Group Inc Class B through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1615, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. SenseTime Group Inc Class B itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$1.30. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1615, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SenseTime Group Inc Class B right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2040). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1105 to HK$0.2040) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of SenseTime Group Inc Class B
How large is the market capitalisation of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
The market capitalisation of SenseTime Group Inc Class B is HK$54.3B (≈ $6.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SenseTime Group Inc Class B is 10.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
Earnings per share at SenseTime Group Inc Class B are HK$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
The net margin of SenseTime Group Inc Class B is −35.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SenseTime Group Inc Class B is −7.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SenseTime Group Inc Class B is −12.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
The operating margin of SenseTime Group Inc Class B is −52.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020)?
Revenue at SenseTime Group Inc Class B is growing +30.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020) generate?
The free cash flow of SenseTime Group Inc Class B is −3.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does SenseTime Group Inc Class B (0020) hold?
SenseTime Group Inc Class B holds more cash than debt, 5.4B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026