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Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd stock ¥0.69, price ¥3.07, upside -77.5%, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical CN · ISIN CNE100000CH6

ZG Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd logo Thin data Oct 28, 2026

Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd

002263 · SHE
Solid, but very expensiveSolid quality, but price far above fair value and no uptrend.Plus: Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +25%, profit +155%.

Our calculation puts a fair price 78% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 51/100
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM)
Fair value ¥0.6900 · Strongly overvalued (−77.5%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.0 %/yr in CNY)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 26/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥5.17 ¥1.80 Fair Value ¥0.6900 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.80 – ¥5.17 · fair‑value band ¥0.6500 – ¥0.7200 · the ¥3.07 price screens above the ¥0.6900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 28, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhejiang Great Southeast Corp. Ltd engages in production and sales of plastic films and plastic products in China and internationally.

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The company offers BOPET film, EVA solar photovoltaic battery encapsulation film, lithium-ion batteries, BOPP capacitor film, casting polypropylene film, and new energy resources. It also provides thermal transfer films, chemical products packaging, and medical packaging.

Zhejiang Great Southeast Corp. Ltd was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Zhuji, China.

Stock analysis

Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263) currently trades at ¥3.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6900, 77.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥0.8100 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥3.07 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.0800, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.6500 (bear) to ¥0.7200 (bull), the price of ¥3.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was 18.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −47.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 5.8B CNY (≈ $867M) Small · P/E ratio 307.0 · P/S ratio 4.29 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −78%, 002263 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0200 to ¥4.34). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥0.6500 Fair Value ¥0.6900 Bull ¥0.7200
Price ¥3.07 · Upside -77.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0083 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings ¥0.7000 ¥0.7400 ¥0.8000 78
Residual Income ¥0.9700 ¥0.9000 ¥0.8500 76
EPV ¥0.6400 ¥0.6500 ¥0.6500 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥0.7000 ¥0.7400 ¥0.8000 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.0700 ¥0.0800 ¥0.0900 67
EPV ¥0.6400 ¥0.6500 ¥0.6500 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0200 ¥0.0200 ¥0.0300 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2100 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2100 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.26 ¥4.34 ¥5.43 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.6700 ¥0.6900 ¥0.7200 66
EV/EBITDA ¥1.10 ¥1.28 ¥1.45 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.6500 ¥0.6900 ¥0.7200 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.5400 ¥0.8100 ¥1.02 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥0.9700 ¥0.9000 ¥0.8500 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.6400 ¥0.6500 ¥0.6500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.0900 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 18
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 32
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 84
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 96
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 62
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 28
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 16
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 51
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: −35.8% / 0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

002263 screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with Packaging Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 257 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −77.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 8.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 24.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 307.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.08× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 4.29× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 40.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 43
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)2 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.12 $61.98 +24% vs 002263
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥25.98 ¥28.58 +10% vs 002263
Crown Holdings CCK $116.28 $121.85 +5% vs 002263
Amcor plc AMC A$64.98 A$57.01 −12% vs 002263
Ball Corporation BALL $64.10 $47.97 −25% vs 002263
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $42.54 $29.90 −30% vs 002263
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $181.71 $125.73 −31% vs 002263
SIG Group SIGN CHF 14.70 CHF 9.12 −38% vs 002263
Packaging Corporation PKG $253.01 $130.52 −48% vs 002263
International Paper Company IP $33.38 $6.91 −79% vs 002263

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002263

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6900 versus a price of ¥3.07, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002263?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is ¥0.6900 (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.07.
What is the quality score of 002263?
Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.6900 (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.6500, optimistic scenario ¥0.7200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.6900, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥3.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.6500, optimistic scenario ¥0.7200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd it is ¥0.6900 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of ¥3.07. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 002263 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.07, fair value ¥0.6900, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002263?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.6900). For Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd the two are ¥2.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd at about 5.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.07; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.6900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002263?
Our models span a range for Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.6500, base ¥0.6900, optimistic ¥0.7200 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price ¥3.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002263?
Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 307.0 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.6900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 4.3, EV/EBITDA 40.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002263 from its 52-week high?
Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd trades at ¥3.07, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥5.17 and 14% above the low of ¥2.70 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.6900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Packaging Corporation, Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price ¥3.07, calculated fair value ¥0.6900 (−78%), Quality Score 51/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002263 calculated?
We run Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.6900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was ¥3.07. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.6900, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.7200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥0.6500 to ¥0.7200), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
The market capitalisation of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is 5.8B CNY (≈ $867M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is 4.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd are ¥0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 307.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
The dividend yield of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is 0.1% (payout 24.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
The net margin of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is 1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
The operating margin of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
Revenue at Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is growing +24.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd are growing +155% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd is −7.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd (002263) hold?
Zhejiang Great Southeast Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.1B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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