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Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Akamai Technologies, Inc $49.38, price $111, upside -55.7%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Akamai Technologies, Inc
0HBQ · LSEStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $49.38 · Strongly overvalued (−55.7%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.2% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 46/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range $83.59 – $162.59 · fair‑value band $35.39 – $64.20 · the $111.39 price screens above the $49.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Akamai Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of security, delivery, and cloud computing solutions in the United States and internationally.
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Akamai Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of security, delivery, and cloud computing solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers security solutions that include web application and application programming interfaces (API) protection solutions, which protect web, API, and mobile app traffic from attacks; Bot & Abuse portfolio, which provides solutions to help customers protect against threats; full account lifecycle protections including the ability to defend against account takeover and opening abuse, adversarial bot protection, protection against credential stuffing, inventory scalping, and hoarding; and solutions designed to stop persistent scrapers from stealing content; API security, which discovers, audits, and monitors API; and microservice and application component protection that analyzes and protects application traffic that moves between application components. The company also offers cloud computing services, which include compute, storage, and cloud native and networking services; and Akamai App Platform, provides ready-to-run templates that address challenges in deploying, managing and scaling Kubernetes clusters at scale. In addition, it offers delivery solutions that include web and mobile performance solutions, which enables dynamic websites and applications, as well as global traffic management, site acceleration, application load balancing, large-scale load testing, and real-user monitoring; and media delivery solutions, including video streaming and video player services, game and software delivery, broadcast operations, authoritative domain name system, resolution, and data and analytics. Akamai Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Stock analysis
Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ) currently trades at $111.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.38, 55.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $67.15 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $111.39 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $18.15, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $35.39 (bear) to $64.20 (bull), the price of $111.39 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality).
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Akamai Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $4.2B in FY2025 versus $3.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was $452M in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $16.4B · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $3.72 · Net margin 10.7% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% · Operating margin 10.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
Fair Value models
Bear $35.39
Fair Value $49.38
Bull $64.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.82 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$51.58
$75.54
$110.61
78
Growth DCF
$52.22
$73.31
$102.28
76
Owner Earnings
$27.86
$39.44
$56.38
74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$51.58
$75.54
$110.61
78
Owner Earnings
$27.86
$39.44
$56.38
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$43.52
$63.91
$89.61
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
$67.56
$108.86
$157.04
72
5Y P/E Exit
$45.91
$68.38
$91.73
68
10Y Revenue Exit
$45.08
$64.12
$89.14
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$61.08
$94.61
$139.41
65
10Y P/E Exit
$47.58
$67.15
$90.72
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$18.87
$58.56
$77.86
65
Lynch FV
$12.71
$18.15
$23.60
61
PEG = 1.0
$12.71
$18.15
$23.60
57
EPV
$32.20
$36.39
$40.00
70
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$41.63
$55.51
$69.39
63
P/S Multiple
$35.39
$47.18
$58.98
58
P/B Multiple
$35.39
$47.18
$58.98
55
EV/EBIT
$57.52
$74.79
$92.05
63
EV/EBITDA
$85.55
$112.16
$138.77
64
EV/Revenue
$40.63
$55.60
$70.57
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$15.28
$20.48
$30.56
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$52.22
$73.31
$102.28
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$43.52
$64.20
$88.04
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$25.96
$28.07
$33.06
71
ROIC Compounder
$32.62
$39.25
$47.45
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$34.57
$49.38
$64.20
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
60/100
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Profitability
37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.8% vs 5.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.3% a year for the price and +6.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+7.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+10.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+9.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+8.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.5%
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- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
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Values & ESG
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None of the checked exposures detected
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Frequently asked questions
Is Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $49.38 versus a price of $111.39, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0HBQ?
Our model-based fair value for Akamai Technologies, Inc is $49.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $111.39.
What is the quality score of 0HBQ?
Akamai Technologies, Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $49.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $35.39, optimistic scenario $64.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Akamai Technologies, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $49.38, about −56% upside versus a price of $111.39 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $35.39, optimistic scenario $64.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
Akamai Technologies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Akamai Technologies, Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0HBQ use?
Our models discount Akamai Technologies, Inc at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Akamai Technologies, Inc that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Akamai Technologies, Inc grew +5.6 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.09 %: that much free cash flow Akamai Technologies, Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Akamai Technologies, Inc it is $49.38 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $111.39. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Akamai Technologies, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0HBQ trades above its calculated fair value: price $111.39, fair value $49.38, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0HBQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($111.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($49.38). For Akamai Technologies, Inc the two are $62.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Akamai Technologies, Inc worth?
The market values Akamai Technologies, Inc at about $16.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $111.39; our models calculate a fair value of $49.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0HBQ?
Our models span a range for Akamai Technologies, Inc: cautious scenario $35.39, base $49.38, optimistic $64.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $111.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Is Akamai Technologies, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $111.39, calculated fair value $49.38 (−56%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0HBQ calculated?
We run Akamai Technologies, Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $49.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Akamai Technologies, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $111.39. Our model-based fair value is $49.38, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Akamai Technologies, Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($64.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($35.39 to $64.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ) come from?
Earnings per share at Akamai Technologies, Inc grew +6.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.0 %, EBIT margin −3.3 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Akamai Technologies, Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
The market capitalisation of Akamai Technologies, Inc is $16.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 0.3 (as of Jul 24, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 0.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
Earnings per share at Akamai Technologies, Inc are $3.72 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
The net margin of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 10.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
The operating margin of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
Revenue at Akamai Technologies, Inc is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ)?
Earnings per share at Akamai Technologies, Inc are growing −13.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Akamai Technologies, Inc (0HBQ) carry?
The net debt of Akamai Technologies, Inc is $6.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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