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Gogo Inc (0IYQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Gogo Inc $12.16, price $2.12, upside +473.6%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Gogo Inc
0IYQ · LSEClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $12.16 · Strongly undervalued (+473.6%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +27.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.5% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range $2.12 – $7.12 · fair‑value band $10.84 – $13.27 · the $2.12 price screens below the $12.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Gogo Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband connectivity services to the aviation industry in the United States and internationally. The company's product platform includes networks, antennas, and airborne equipment and software.
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Gogo Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband connectivity services to the aviation industry in the United States and internationally. The company's product platform includes networks, antennas, and airborne equipment and software. The company offers in-flight systems; in-flight services; aviation partner support; and engineering, design, and development services, as well as production operations functions. It offers voice and data, in-flight entertainment, and other services. In addition, the company's infrastructure includes networks, towers, cyber security software and data centers to support in-flight connectivity services, as well as in the provision of telecommunications services. The company sells its products primarily to aircraft operators and original equipment manufacturers of business aviation aircraft through a distribution network of independent dealers. Gogo Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.
Stock analysis
Gogo Inc (0IYQ) currently trades at $2.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.16, implying the stock looks roughly 82.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $28.63 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the $2.12 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $1.29, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $10.84 (bear) to $13.27 (bull), the price of $2.12 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality).
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Gogo Inc reported revenue of $910M in FY2025 versus $336M in FY2021, a compound +28.3%/yr. Reported net income was $12.9M in FY2025, compounding −45.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $290M · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) $1.36 · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.9% · Operating margin 14.8% · Revenue (TTM) $907M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
Fair Value models
Bear $10.84
Fair Value $12.16
Bull $13.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.03 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$21.96
$36.44
$74.69
74
Growth DCF
$21.12
$39.82
$73.15
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$20.71
$38.10
$65.44
70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$21.96
$36.44
$74.69
74
Owner Earnings
$13.54
$27.24
$54.09
69
5Y Revenue Exit
$16.18
$28.07
$47.89
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
$20.71
$38.10
$65.44
70
5Y P/E Exit
$9.09
$12.76
$16.84
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$17.44
$31.06
$49.59
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
$20.98
$39.11
$70.80
63
10Y P/E Exit
$13.06
$18.48
$26.16
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$1.00
$6.60
$9.24
63
Lynch FV
$1.92
$2.75
$3.57
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.92
$2.75
$3.57
57
EPV
$11.85
$13.49
$14.91
70
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$2.22
$2.96
$3.69
63
P/S Multiple
$1.88
$2.51
$3.14
58
P/B Multiple
$1.88
$2.51
$3.14
55
EV/EBIT
$19.04
$24.91
$30.78
63
EV/EBITDA
$20.87
$27.35
$33.83
64
EV/Revenue
$13.30
$18.39
$23.48
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.5800
$0.7700
$1.16
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$21.12
$39.82
$73.15
72
Rev-Margin DCF
$16.18
$28.63
$46.74
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.08
$1.29
$1.84
70
ROIC Compounder
$11.85
$13.49
$14.91
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$2.64
$3.77
$4.90
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
51/100
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7
Profitability
38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
59
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+104.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.2% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.2%
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’17
’18
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’20
’21
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’23
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−2.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 13%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.0%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−27.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −28.7% a year for the price and +0.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+0.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.2%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Frequently asked questions
Is Gogo Inc (0IYQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.16 versus a price of $2.12, about +474% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0IYQ?
Our model-based fair value for Gogo Inc is $12.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.12.
What is the quality score of 0IYQ?
Gogo Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.84, optimistic scenario $13.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gogo Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.16, about +474% upside versus a price of $2.12 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.84, optimistic scenario $13.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
Gogo Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $907M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gogo Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -27.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0IYQ use?
Our models discount Gogo Inc at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 1.16, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gogo Inc that is -27.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gogo Inc (0IYQ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gogo Inc grew +27.6 % a year. The price currently implies -27.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.49 %: that much free cash flow Gogo Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gogo Inc it is $12.16 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.12. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gogo Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0IYQ trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.12, fair value $12.16, a gap of about +474% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0IYQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.16). For Gogo Inc the two are $10.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gogo Inc worth?
The market values Gogo Inc at about $290M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.12; our models calculate a fair value of $12.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0IYQ?
Our models span a range for Gogo Inc: cautious scenario $10.84, base $12.16, optimistic $13.27 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Is Gogo Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.12, calculated fair value $12.16 (+474%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0IYQ calculated?
We run Gogo Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Gogo Inc currently trades 83 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $2.12. Our model-based fair value is $12.16, about +474% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gogo Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.84). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Gogo Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
The market capitalisation of Gogo Inc is $290M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Gogo Inc is 0.0 (as of Jul 24, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What are the earnings per share of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
Earnings per share at Gogo Inc are $1.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
The net margin of Gogo Inc is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gogo Inc is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gogo Inc is 12.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
The operating margin of Gogo Inc is 14.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
Revenue at Gogo Inc is growing −1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +31.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gogo Inc (0IYQ)?
Earnings per share at Gogo Inc are growing +7.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Gogo Inc (0IYQ) carry?
The net debt of Gogo Inc is $822M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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