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Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ultra Clean Holdings $12.50, price $73.81, upside -83.1%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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  2. Good quality? No
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GB · ISIN US90385V1070

UC Some data Sep 24, 2026

Ultra Clean Holdings

0LID · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $12.50 · Strongly overvalued (−83.1%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.4% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$141.39 $24.56 Fair Value $12.50 Dec 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range $24.56 – $141.39 · fair‑value band $12.50 – $12.89 · the $73.81 price screens above the $12.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. develops and supplies critical subsystems, components and parts, and cleaning and analytical services for the semiconductor industry in the United States and internationally.

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Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. develops and supplies critical subsystems, components and parts, and cleaning and analytical services for the semiconductor industry in the United States and internationally. The company offers outsourced solutions for the development, design, component sourcing and cleaning, prototyping, engineering, and manufacturing and testing of advanced systems. It also provides a range of gas delivery solutions, such as precision thermal products, valves, connectors, industrial process connectors and valves, pneumatic actuators, manifolds and safety solutions, hoses, pressure gauges, gas lines, and component heaters, as well as complex weldments. In addition, the company offers assemblies, including gas and fluid delivery solutions, wafer transport systems, mechatronic assemblies, process modules, and sub-fab process equipment support racks; weldments and frames with exacting standards; heaters, sensors, and controllers for precise temperature control; integrated device manufacturers and OEMs validated process tool chamber parts cleaning and coating services; and tool part process optimization solutions, analytical verification of process tool chamber part cleaning effectiveness and micro contamination analysis of tool parts, wafers and depositions, chemicals, cleanroom materials, deionized water, and airborne molecular contamination. It primarily serves customers in the semiconductor capital equipment and semiconductor integrated device manufacturing industries, as well as display, consumer, medical, energy, industrial, and research equipment industries. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Hayward, California.

Stock analysis

Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID) currently trades at $73.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.50, 83.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $13.12 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the $73.81 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.61, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $12.50 (bear) to $12.89 (bull), the price of $73.81 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality).

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Ultra Clean Holdings reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$181M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.3B · P/E ratio 0.4 · EPS (TTM) $2.69 · Net margin −8.8% · Return on equity −22.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% · Operating margin 2.1% · Revenue (TTM) $2.1B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

Fair Value models

Bear $12.50 Fair Value $12.50 Bull $12.89
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.04 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $8.75 $13.12 $20.74 77
Growth DCF $8.66 $12.50 $18.87 75
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.96 $24.03 $37.16 71
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.75 $13.12 $20.74 77
5Y Revenue Exit $8.47 $12.37 $17.77 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.96 $24.03 $37.16 71
10Y Revenue Exit $8.36 $12.10 $18.06 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $12.12 $20.60 $34.42 64
Earnings-Based
EPV $6.00 $6.38 $6.69 70
Multiples
EV/EBIT $10.61 $12.92 $15.24 63
EV/EBITDA $17.40 $21.98 $26.56 64
EV/Revenue $8.35 $10.35 $12.36 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.18 $5.61 $8.36 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.66 $12.50 $18.87 75
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $6.00 $6.38 $6.69 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.8% (2020) → 2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+66.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+17.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +62.5% a year for the price and +15.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+24.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+19.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+17.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+15.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+13.0%

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Ultra Clean Holdings · Fair Value
$12.50 −83%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ultra Clean Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0LID

Frequently asked questions

Is Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.50 versus a price of $73.81, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0LID?
Our model-based fair value for Ultra Clean Holdings is $12.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $73.81.
What is the quality score of 0LID?
Ultra Clean Holdings has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.50, optimistic scenario $12.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ultra Clean Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.50, about −83% upside versus a price of $73.81 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $12.50, optimistic scenario $12.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
Ultra Clean Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ultra Clean Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by +66.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0LID use?
Our models discount Ultra Clean Holdings at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 1.83, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ultra Clean Holdings that is +66.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ultra Clean Holdings grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies +66.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.44 %: that much free cash flow Ultra Clean Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ultra Clean Holdings it is $12.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $73.81. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ultra Clean Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0LID trades above its calculated fair value: price $73.81, fair value $12.50, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0LID?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($73.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.50). For Ultra Clean Holdings the two are $61.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ultra Clean Holdings worth?
The market values Ultra Clean Holdings at about $3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $73.81; our models calculate a fair value of $12.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0LID?
Our models span a range for Ultra Clean Holdings: cautious scenario $12.50, base $12.50, optimistic $12.89 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $73.81). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Is Ultra Clean Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $73.81, calculated fair value $12.50 (−83%), Quality Score 48/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0LID calculated?
We run Ultra Clean Holdings through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.50, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ultra Clean Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $73.81. Our model-based fair value is $12.50, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ultra Clean Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band ($12.50 to $12.89), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Ultra Clean Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
The market capitalisation of Ultra Clean Holdings is $3.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Ultra Clean Holdings is 0.4 (as of Jul 26, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What are the earnings per share of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
Earnings per share at Ultra Clean Holdings are $2.69 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
The net margin of Ultra Clean Holdings is −8.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ultra Clean Holdings is −22.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ultra Clean Holdings is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
The operating margin of Ultra Clean Holdings is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID)?
Revenue at Ultra Clean Holdings is growing +2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Ultra Clean Holdings (0LID) carry?
The net debt of Ultra Clean Holdings is $499M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 33.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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