The Walt Disney Company (0QZO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of The Walt Disney Company $16.49, price $102, upside -83.9%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $79.60 – $187.00 · fair‑value band $8.73 – $23.00 · the $102.33 price screens above the $16.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences.
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The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences. The company produces and distributes film and television content under the ABC Television Network, Disney, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brand television channels, as well as ABC television stations and A+E television networks; and produces original content under the Disney Branded Television, FX Productions, Lucasfilm, Marvel, National Geographic Studios, Pixar, Searchlight Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, 20th Television, and Walt Disney Pictures banners. It also provides direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, and Hulu; sports-related video streaming content through ESPN, ESPN on ABC, ESPN+ DTC, and Star; sale/licensing of film and episodic content to television and video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; DVD and Blu-ray discs, electronic home video licenses, and VOD rental services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort, Disneyland Resort, Disneyland Paris, Hong Kong Disneyland Resort, Shanghai Disney Resort, Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney, as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii. Further, it licenses its intellectual property (IP) to a third party that owns and operates Tokyo Disney Resort; licenses trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games; operates a direct-to-home satellite distribution platform; sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
Stock analysis
The Walt Disney Company (0QZO) currently trades at $102.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.49, 83.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $33.48 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the $102.33 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.72, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $8.73 (bear) to $23.00 (bull), the price of $102.33 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality).
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
The Walt Disney Company reported revenue of $67.4B in FY2021 versus $55.1B in FY2017, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was $2.0B in FY2021, compounding −31.3%/yr from FY2017.
Key figures
P/E ratio 0.2 · EPS (TTM) $4.90 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% · Operating margin 15.5% · Revenue (TTM) $97.3B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($3.72 to $41.48). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $8.73Fair Value $16.49Bull $23.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
25.1% (2017) → 4.6% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Walt Disney Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0QZO
Frequently asked questions
Is The Walt Disney Company (0QZO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.49 versus a price of $102.33, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QZO?
Our model-based fair value for The Walt Disney Company is $16.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $102.33.
What is the quality score of 0QZO?
The Walt Disney Company has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.73, optimistic scenario $23.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Walt Disney Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.49, about −84% upside versus a price of $102.33 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $8.73, optimistic scenario $23.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
The Walt Disney Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $97.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does The Walt Disney Company pay a dividend?
The Walt Disney Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Walt Disney Company it is $16.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $102.33. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Walt Disney Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0QZO trades above its calculated fair value: price $102.33, fair value $16.49, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QZO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($102.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.49). For The Walt Disney Company the two are $85.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QZO?
Our models span a range for The Walt Disney Company: cautious scenario $8.73, base $16.49, optimistic $23.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $102.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0QZO from its 52-week high?
The Walt Disney Company trades at $102.33, about 12% below its 52-week high of $116.67 and 11% above the low of $92.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.49 is for.
Is The Walt Disney Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $102.33, calculated fair value $16.49 (−84%), Quality Score 45/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QZO calculated?
We run The Walt Disney Company through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. The Walt Disney Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $102.33. Our model-based fair value is $16.49, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Walt Disney Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($23.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($8.73 to $23.00). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of The Walt Disney Company
What is the P/E ratio of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of The Walt Disney Company is 0.2 (as of Jul 30, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What are the earnings per share of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
Earnings per share at The Walt Disney Company are $4.90 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
The dividend yield of The Walt Disney Company is 1.5% (payout 30.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
The net margin of The Walt Disney Company is 3.0% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Walt Disney Company is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Walt Disney Company is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
The operating margin of The Walt Disney Company is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
Revenue at The Walt Disney Company is growing +6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Walt Disney Company (0QZO)?
Earnings per share at The Walt Disney Company are growing −29.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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