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Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd $30.72, price $32.07, upside -4.2%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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GB · ISIN BMG0750C1082

AC Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd

0U6C · LSE

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $30.72 · Fairly valued (−4.2%)
!Quality 58/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.8% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 50/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$38.11 $25.32 Fair Value $30.72 Dec 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range $25.32 – $38.11 · fair‑value band $23.75 – $39.49 · the $32.07 price screens above the $30.72 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes high-performance coatings systems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through two segments, Performance Coatings and Mobility Coatings.

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Axalta Coating Systems Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes high-performance coatings systems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through two segments, Performance Coatings and Mobility Coatings. It also offers water and solvent-borne products and systems to repair damaged vehicles for independent body shops, multi-shop operators, and original equipment manufacturers (OEM) dealership body shops. In addition, the company provides functional and decorative liquid, and powder coatings for building materials, cabinet, wood and luxury vinyl flooring, and furniture applications under the Imron Industrial, Tufcote Industrial, Corlar Industrial, Strenex Industrial, PercoTop, Voltatex, AquaEC, Durapon, Hydropon, UNRIVALED, Ceranamel, Alesta, Teodur, Nap-Gard, Abcite, and Plascoat brands. Further, it develops and supplies electrocoat, primer, the basecoat, and clearcoat products for OEMs of light and commercial vehicles; and coatings systems for various commercial applications, including HDT, MDT, bus, rail, motorcycles, marine and aviation, trailers, recreational vehicles, and personal sport vehicles under the Imron, Imron Elite, Centari, Rival, Corlar epoxy undercoats, and AquaEC brands. The company also offers products under the Audurra, Abcite, Alesta, AquaEC, Axalta Irus Mix, Axalta Irus Scan, Axalta NextJet, Axalta Nimbus, Centari, Ceranamel, Challenger, Chemophan, ColorNet, Cromax, Cromax Mosaic, Durapon 70, Duxone, Harmonized Coating Technologies, Hydropon, Imron ExcelPro, Imron Elite, Imron, Lutophen, Nap-Gard, Nason, Spies Hecker, Standox, Stollaquid, Syntopal, Syrox, Raptor, Rival, U-POL, and Vermeera brands. The company was formerly known as Axalta Coating Systems Bermuda Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. in August 2014. Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Stock analysis

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C) currently trades at $32.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.72, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.4%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $36.95 per share, and 13 of the 22 models we run sit above the $32.07 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.58, and 9 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $23.75 (bear) to $39.49 (bull), the price of $32.07 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality).

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd reported revenue of $5.1B in FY2025 versus $4.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $378M in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $7.0B · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) $1.27 · Net margin 7.4% · Return on equity 14.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin 15.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

Fair Value models

Bear $23.75 Fair Value $30.72 Bull $39.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.9581 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $27.24 $35.59 $50.06 79
Growth DCF $28.07 $36.11 $49.03 77
Owner Earnings $28.26 $36.95 $52.02 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $27.24 $35.59 $50.06 79
Owner Earnings $28.26 $36.95 $52.02 74
5Y Revenue Exit $28.78 $41.15 $58.50 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $35.16 $52.08 $73.62 72
5Y P/E Exit $24.83 $34.39 $45.34 69
10Y Revenue Exit $27.19 $37.77 $50.04 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $31.80 $44.85 $59.93 66
10Y P/E Exit $25.58 $33.39 $41.42 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.77 $19.26 $23.73 66
EPV $25.50 $29.09 $32.19 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.75 $31.67 $39.59 63
P/S Multiple $20.19 $26.92 $33.65 58
P/B Multiple $20.19 $26.92 $33.65 55
EV/EBIT $45.97 $60.37 $74.78 63
EV/EBITDA $46.02 $60.44 $74.85 64
EV/Revenue $31.89 $44.37 $56.85 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.91 $6.58 $9.83 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $28.07 $36.11 $49.03 77
Rev-Margin DCF $28.78 $41.55 $56.86 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.03 $12.22 $16.23 71
ROIC Compounder $25.90 $30.04 $33.98 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.80 $24.01 $31.21 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.5% vs 27.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.2% a year for the price and +0.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.8%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Axalta Coating Systems Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0U6C

Frequently asked questions

Is Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.72 versus a price of $32.07, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0U6C?
Our model-based fair value for Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is $30.72 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $32.07.
What is the quality score of 0U6C?
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $30.72 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $23.75, optimistic scenario $39.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Axalta Coating Systems Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $30.72, about −4% upside versus a price of $32.07 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $23.75, optimistic scenario $39.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +5.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0U6C use?
Our models discount Axalta Coating Systems Ltd at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 1.24, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Axalta Coating Systems Ltd that is +5.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Axalta Coating Systems Ltd grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies +5.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.50 %: that much free cash flow Axalta Coating Systems Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Axalta Coating Systems Ltd it is $30.72 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $32.07. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Axalta Coating Systems Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0U6C trades above its calculated fair value: price $32.07, fair value $30.72, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0U6C?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($32.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($30.72). For Axalta Coating Systems Ltd the two are $1.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Axalta Coating Systems Ltd worth?
The market values Axalta Coating Systems Ltd at about $7.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $32.07; our models calculate a fair value of $30.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0U6C?
Our models span a range for Axalta Coating Systems Ltd: cautious scenario $23.75, base $30.72, optimistic $39.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $32.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Is Axalta Coating Systems Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $32.07, calculated fair value $30.72 (−4%), Quality Score 58/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0U6C calculated?
We run Axalta Coating Systems Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $30.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Axalta Coating Systems Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $32.07. Our model-based fair value is $30.72, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Axalta Coating Systems Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C) come from?
Earnings per share at Axalta Coating Systems Ltd grew +24.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.3 %, EBIT margin +1.0 %, tax rate +2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +16.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
The market capitalisation of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is $7.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is 0.3 (as of Aug 5, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is 0.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
Earnings per share at Axalta Coating Systems Ltd are $1.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
The net margin of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is 7.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
The operating margin of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
Revenue at Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is growing +3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C)?
Earnings per share at Axalta Coating Systems Ltd are growing −18.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (0U6C) carry?
The net debt of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd is $2.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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