Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. $114, price $130, upside -12.3%, quality 79 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $87.70 – $233.04 · fair‑value band $81.87 – $157.45 · the $130.25 price screens above the $114.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. It provides a multilevel security architecture that defends enterprises' cloud, network, mobile devices, endpoints information, and IOT solutions.
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Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. It provides a multilevel security architecture that defends enterprises' cloud, network, mobile devices, endpoints information, and IOT solutions. The company offers Mesh Network Security, which comprises Firewall, Maestro Hyperscale Firewall, Firewall Software R82.10, Spark Firewall, and AI Powered Security Management for hybrid cloud, internet and perimeter gateways, and branch locations. It also provides Workspace Security Platform, including email, endpoint, mobile, browser, and XDR security solutions across devices, browsers, SaaS apps, and remote access. In addition, the company offers Threat Exposure Management platforms comprising threat intelligence, vulnerability detection and prioritization, and safe remediation. Further, it offers AI Security platforms comprising workforce and agent security, and red teaming solutions. Additionally, the company offers cyber security services, including managed detection and response, incident response, security consulting and managed, security consulting, professional, and training services. The company also provides technical customer support programs and plans; professional services in implementing, upgrading, and optimizing its products comprising design planning and security implementation; and certification and educational training services on its products. Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S) currently trades at $130.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $114.28, 12.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $121.42 per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the $130.25 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.91, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $81.87 (bear) to $157.45 (bull), the price of $130.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality).
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $14.3B · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) $4.82 · Net margin 38.8% · Return on equity 37.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.4% · Operating margin 27.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 64 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
Fair Value models
Bear $81.87Fair Value $114.28Bull $157.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.64 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+3.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.0% vs 9.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.44% → 31%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.1% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0Y9S
Frequently asked questions
Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $114.28 versus a price of $130.25, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0Y9S?
Our model-based fair value for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is $114.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $130.25.
What is the quality score of 0Y9S?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $114.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $81.87, optimistic scenario $157.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $114.28, about −12% upside versus a price of $130.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $81.87, optimistic scenario $157.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +0.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0Y9S use?
Our models discount Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. that is +0.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. grew +5.7 % a year. The price currently implies +0.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.37 %: that much free cash flow Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. it is $114.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $130.25. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0Y9S trades above its calculated fair value: price $130.25, fair value $114.28, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0Y9S?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($130.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($114.28). For Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. the two are $15.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. worth?
The market values Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. at about $14.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $130.25; our models calculate a fair value of $114.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0Y9S?
Our models span a range for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.: cautious scenario $81.87, base $114.28, optimistic $157.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $130.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0Y9S from its 52-week high?
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. trades at $130.25, about 36% below its 52-week high of $205.00 and 15% above the low of $113.26 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $114.28 is for.
Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $130.25, calculated fair value $114.28 (−12%), Quality Score 79/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0Y9S calculated?
We run Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $114.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $130.25. Our model-based fair value is $114.28, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. right now?
A fairly wide model range ($81.87 to $157.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S) come from?
Earnings per share at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. grew +8.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.9 %, EBIT margin −4.5 %, tax rate +2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
The market capitalisation of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is $14.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is 0.3 (as of Aug 6, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is 0.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
Earnings per share at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. are $4.82 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
The net margin of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is 38.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is 37.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is 14.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
The operating margin of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is 27.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
Revenue at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S)?
Earnings per share at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. are growing +1.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (0Y9S) carry?
The net debt of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is $207M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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