1449 (1449) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$190M
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Share price −13.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.2420 – HK$0.3400 · fair‑value band HK$0.8300 – HK$2.42 · the HK$0.2850 price screens below the HK$1.63 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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1449 (1449) currently trades at HK$0.2850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.63 — implying the stock looks roughly 471.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, 1449 generated revenue of HK$364M at a net margin of -21.4%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.5%. Net debt stands at HK$1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
1449 reported revenue of HK$345M in FY2025 versus HK$196M in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$73.0M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 894.16 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group T1AL34 | R$4.89 | R$0.9200 | -81% |
| Graham Holdings GHC | $1,141 | $1,253 | +10% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.49 | $39.86 | +9% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $124.45 | $150.42 | +21% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $82.32 | $140.28 | +70% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.