Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd TWD 3.61, price TWD 12.45, upside -71.0%, quality 13 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.00 TWD – 29.15 TWD · fair‑value band 1.77 TWD – 5.19 TWD · the 12.45 TWD price screens above the 3.61 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Chia Her Industrial Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells textile products in Taiwan. Its products include performance, fashion, chaser, home, workwear, and yarn products for the military, police, post office, banks, gas stations, students, etc. The company also provides medical masks, protective fabric, and reusable fabric masks.
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Chia Her Industrial Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells textile products in Taiwan. Its products include performance, fashion, chaser, home, workwear, and yarn products for the military, police, post office, banks, gas stations, students, etc. The company also provides medical masks, protective fabric, and reusable fabric masks. In addition, it offers garment manufacturers, traders, and fabric merchants; manufactures various long-fiber fabrics and sells them to garment manufacturers, traders, and fabric merchants; manufactures, processes, and sells cotton yarn, wool yarn, and blended yarns; construction, leasing, investment, and sale of residential and commercial buildings, contracting of civil engineering projects; manufacturing, banking, insurance, securities, and cultural companies; wholesale, retail, and trading of food, textiles, and various department stores; and the sales of raw silk, yarn, pigments, and dyes for textiles. It serves various industries comprising fashion, outdoors, sports, home, and automotive. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan
Stock analysis
Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449) currently trades at 12.45 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.61 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 244.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 11.95 TWD per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the 12.45 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.8800 TWD, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.77 TWD (bear) to 5.19 TWD (bull), the price of 12.45 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 13.5M TWD in FY2025, compounding −35.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.6B TWD (≈ $51.1M) · P/E ratio 103.8 · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) 0.1200 TWD · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Operating margin −7.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −71%, 1449 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.8800 TWD to 11.95 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 1.77 TWDFair Value 3.61 TWDBull 5.19 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0881 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.5% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−32.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−32.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−33% vs −22%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → −11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.4%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 344 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score13 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−71% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)103.8× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)22· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)69· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1449
Frequently asked questions
Is Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.61 TWD versus a price of 12.45 TWD, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1449?
Our model-based fair value for Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is 3.61 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.45 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1449?
Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 13/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.61 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.77 TWD, optimistic scenario 5.19 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.61 TWD, about −71% upside versus a price of 12.45 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.77 TWD, optimistic scenario 5.19 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd it is 3.61 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 12.45 TWD. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1449 trades above its calculated fair value: price 12.45 TWD, fair value 3.61 TWD, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1449?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.45 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.61 TWD). For Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd the two are 8.84 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd worth?
The market values Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd at about 1.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 12.45 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 3.61 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1449?
Our models span a range for Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd: cautious scenario 1.77 TWD, base 3.61 TWD, optimistic 5.19 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 12.45 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1449?
Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 103.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.61 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.5%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 13/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1449 from its 52-week high?
Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd trades at 12.45 TWD, about 24% below its 52-week high of 16.40 TWD and 26% above the low of 9.91 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.61 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 12.45 TWD, calculated fair value 3.61 TWD (−71%), Quality Score 13/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1449 calculated?
We run Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.61 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 12.45 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 3.61 TWD, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.19 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (1.77 TWD to 5.19 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
The market capitalisation of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is 1.6B TWD (≈ $51.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is 0.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
Earnings per share at Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd are 0.1200 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 103.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
The net margin of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is 0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
The operating margin of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is −7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
Revenue at Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is growing +22.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449)?
Earnings per share at Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd are growing +17.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449) generate?
The free cash flow of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is −287M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd (1449) carry?
The net debt of Chia Her Industrial Co Ltd is 2.5B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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