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New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 9, 2026: fair value of New Oriental Education & Technology Group MXN 1,063, price MXN 966, upside +10.0%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · MX · ISIN US6475812060

NO Some data Oct 3, 2026

New Oriental Education & Technology Group

EDUN · MX

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 1,063 MXN · Fairly valued (+10.0%)
✓Quality 74/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.1% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

3,201 MXN 179.74 MXN Fair Value 1,063 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 179.74 MXN – 3,201 MXN · fair‑value band 797.35 MXN – 1,349 MXN · the 966.48 MXN price screens below the 1,063 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China.

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New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label Products and Livestreaming E-Commerce; Overseas Study Consulting Services; and Educational Materials and Distribution. The company offers test preparation courses to students taking language and entrance exams used by educational institutions in the United States, the Commonwealth countries, and the People's Republic of China. It also provides non-academic tutoring courses; intelligent learning systems and devices to offer a digital learning experience for students; and overseas studies consulting services. In addition, the company offers online education services through the Koolearn.com platform. Further, it develops and edits educational materials for language training and test preparation. In addition, the company offers educational programs, services, and products to students through schools; learning centers; and bookstores, as well as through its online learning platforms. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN) currently trades at 966.48 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,063 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1,442 MXN per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the 966.48 MXN price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 170.22 MXN, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 797.35 MXN (bear) to 1,349 MXN (bull), the price of 966.48 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group reported revenue of $4.9B in FY2025 versus $4.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was $372M in FY2025, compounding +2.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 154B MXN (≈ $8.5B) · P/E ratio 20.5 · P/S ratio 1.55 · EPS (TTM) 47.26 MXN · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 10%, EDUN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 797.35 MXN Fair Value 1,063 MXN Bull 1,349 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (46.06 MXN per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 1,127 MXN 1,960 MXN 3,433 MXN 77
Growth DCF 1,107 MXN 1,835 MXN 3,054 MXN 76
Residual Income 364.41 MXN 404.10 MXN 510.96 MXN 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,127 MXN 1,960 MXN 3,433 MXN 77
Owner Earnings 565.84 MXN 903.99 MXN 1,502 MXN 75
5Y Revenue Exit 807.10 MXN 1,239 MXN 1,826 MXN 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 901.42 MXN 1,442 MXN 2,128 MXN 74
5Y P/E Exit 932.14 MXN 1,507 MXN 2,180 MXN 70
10Y Revenue Exit 891.12 MXN 1,344 MXN 2,045 MXN 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 969.52 MXN 1,492 MXN 2,303 MXN 67
10Y P/E Exit 989.77 MXN 1,540 MXN 2,347 MXN 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 289.72 MXN 1,533 MXN 2,123 MXN 63
Lynch FV 422.01 MXN 602.88 MXN 783.74 MXN 61
PEG = 1.0 422.01 MXN 602.88 MXN 783.74 MXN 57
EPV 550.19 MXN 608.14 MXN 658.14 MXN 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 98.85 MXN 196.97 MXN 298.27 MXN 67
DDM Multi-Stage 98.85 MXN 170.22 MXN 207.91 MXN 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 703.00 MXN 937.33 MXN 1,172 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 505.50 MXN 674.00 MXN 842.50 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 543.23 MXN 724.30 MXN 905.38 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 939.13 MXN 1,191 MXN 1,443 MXN 66
EV/EBITDA 837.63 MXN 1,056 MXN 1,274 MXN 67
EV/Revenue 654.96 MXN 857.16 MXN 1,059 MXN 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 209.86 MXN 281.22 MXN 419.72 MXN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,107 MXN 1,835 MXN 3,054 MXN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 807.10 MXN 1,232 MXN 1,805 MXN 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 364.41 MXN 404.10 MXN 510.96 MXN 76
ROIC Compounder 602.25 MXN 756.55 MXN 963.64 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 640.58 MXN 915.11 MXN 1,190 MXN 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−1.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 10%
2025 sits 59% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+49.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.7% a year for the price and +8.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+13.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+11.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+10.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+9.0%

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹134.36 ₹33.64 −75%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $147.28 $162.01 +10%
Stride, Inc LRN $75.59 $171.72 +127%
McGraw Hill, Inc MH $13.11 $8.95 −32%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $30.94 $41.01 +33%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Oriental Education & Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EDUN

Frequently asked questions

Is New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,063 MXN versus the last price from Jul 9, 2026 of 966.48 MXN, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EDUN?
Our model-based fair value for New Oriental Education & Technology Group is 1,063 MXN (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 9, 2026): 966.48 MXN.
What is the quality score of EDUN?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,063 MXN (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 797.35 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,349 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the New Oriental Education & Technology Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,063 MXN, about +10% upside versus the last price from Jul 9, 2026 of 966.48 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 797.35 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,349 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does New Oriental Education & Technology Group pay a dividend?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.12% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, New Oriental Education & Technology Group would have to grow free cash flow by +49.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EDUN use?
Our models discount New Oriental Education & Technology Group at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For New Oriental Education & Technology Group that is +49.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at New Oriental Education & Technology Group grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies +49.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into New Oriental Education & Technology Group (+49.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.76 %: that much free cash flow New Oriental Education & Technology Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New Oriental Education & Technology Group it is 1,063 MXN per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 966.48 MXN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is New Oriental Education & Technology Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, EDUN trades below its calculated fair value: price 966.48 MXN, fair value 1,063 MXN, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EDUN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (966.48 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,063 MXN). For New Oriental Education & Technology Group the two are 96.65 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New Oriental Education & Technology Group worth?
The market values New Oriental Education & Technology Group at about 154B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 966.48 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 1,063 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EDUN?
Our models span a range for New Oriental Education & Technology Group: cautious scenario 797.35 MXN, base 1,063 MXN, optimistic 1,349 MXN per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 966.48 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is EDUN from its 52-week high?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group trades at 966.48 MXN, about 11% below its 52-week high of 1,086 MXN and 15% above the low of 841.70 MXN (as of Jul 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,063 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New Oriental Education & Technology Group?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, Physicswallah Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New Oriental Education & Technology Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 966.48 MXN, calculated fair value 1,063 MXN (+10%), Quality Score 74/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EDUN calculated?
We run New Oriental Education & Technology Group through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,063 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. New Oriental Education & Technology Group currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 9, 2026 and stands at 966.48 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 1,063 MXN, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New Oriental Education & Technology Group right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of New Oriental Education & Technology Group

How large is the market capitalisation of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
The market capitalisation of New Oriental Education & Technology Group is 154B MXN (≈ $8.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of New Oriental Education & Technology Group is 20.5. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of New Oriental Education & Technology Group is 1.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
Earnings per share at New Oriental Education & Technology Group are 47.26 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
The dividend yield of New Oriental Education & Technology Group is 0.1% (payout 2.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
The net margin of New Oriental Education & Technology Group is 7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New Oriental Education & Technology Group is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New Oriental Education & Technology Group is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
The operating margin of New Oriental Education & Technology Group is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
Revenue at New Oriental Education & Technology Group is growing +19.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
Earnings per share at New Oriental Education & Technology Group are growing +60.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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