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New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · MX · Market cap 154B MXN

NO New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN · MX
Price966.48 MXN
Fair Value897.37 MXN
Upside-7.2%
Quality74/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.12% dividend yield
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: Medium Range 672.99 MXN – 1,122 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 905.77 MXN to 897.37 MXN (−0.9%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 672.99 MXN (bear) to 1,122 MXN (bull), base 897.37 MXN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3,201 MXN 179.74 MXN Fair Value 897.37 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 179.74 MXN – 3,201 MXN · fair‑value band 672.99 MXN – 1,122 MXN · the 966.48 MXN price screens above the 897.37 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN) currently trades at 966.48 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 897.37 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 7.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, New Oriental Education & Technology Group generated revenue of 5.4B MXN at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 672.99 MXN (bear case) to 1,122 MXN (bull case); at 966.48 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at -7%, EDUN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 63.61 MXN 108.53 MXN 187.74 MXN 80
Residual Income 20.29 MXN 22.65 MXN 37.56 MXN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 44.86 MXN 68.67 MXN 100.81 MXN 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 64.59 MXN 115.36 MXN 208.59 MXN 38
Owner Earnings 32.15 MXN 52.74 MXN 90.53 MXN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 44.86 MXN 69.08 MXN 101.99 MXN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 50.15 MXN 80.43 MXN 118.94 MXN 41
5Y P/E Exit 51.87 MXN 84.12 MXN 121.87 MXN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 49.97 MXN 75.81 MXN 115.98 MXN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 54.46 MXN 84.32 MXN 130.74 MXN 37
10Y P/E Exit 55.62 MXN 87.09 MXN 133.29 MXN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 15.88 MXN 84.04 MXN 116.36 MXN 54
Lynch FV 23.14 MXN 33.05 MXN 42.97 MXN 50
PEG = 1.0 23.14 MXN 33.05 MXN 42.97 MXN 46
EPV 31.12 MXN 34.63 MXN 37.71 MXN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.67 MXN 11.78 MXN 18.69 MXN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5.67 MXN 9.93 MXN 12.36 MXN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 38.54 MXN 51.39 MXN 64.23 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 27.71 MXN 36.95 MXN 46.19 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 29.78 MXN 39.71 MXN 49.63 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 51.48 MXN 65.30 MXN 79.11 MXN 53
EV/EBITDA 45.92 MXN 57.88 MXN 69.84 MXN 54
EV/Revenue 35.91 MXN 46.99 MXN 58.07 MXN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.50 MXN 15.42 MXN 23.01 MXN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 63.61 MXN 108.53 MXN 187.74 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 44.86 MXN 68.67 MXN 100.81 MXN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 20.29 MXN 22.65 MXN 37.56 MXN 76
ROIC Compounder 34.41 MXN 44.03 MXN 57.20 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 35.12 MXN 50.17 MXN 65.22 MXN 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (80.43 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (9.93 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.4B MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.8%
Net margin 7.8%
Return on equity 10.8%
Free cash flow 637M MXN FY2025
P/E ratio 20.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.7%
EPS (TTM) 47.26 MXN
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +60.0%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label Products and Livestreaming E-Commerce; Overseas Study Consulting Services; and Educational Materials and Distribution. The company offers test preparation courses to students taking language and entrance exams used by educational institutions in the United States, the Commonwealth countries, and the People's Republic of China. It also provides non-academic tutoring courses; intelligent learning systems and devices to offer a digital learning experience for students; and overseas studies consulting services. In addition, the company offers online education services through the Koolearn.com platform. Further, it develops and edits educational materials for language training and test preparation. In addition, the company offers educational programs, services, and products to students through schools; learning centers; and bookstores, as well as through its online learning platforms. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

New Oriental Education & Technology Group reported revenue of 4.9B MXN in FY2025 versus 4.3B MXN in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 372M MXN in FY2025, compounding +2.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.9B MXN
Latest YoY
+13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+14.2%
Revenue +3.5%/yr
FY21 4.3B MXN
FY22 3.1B MXN
FY23 3.0B MXN
FY24 4.3B MXN
FY25 4.9B MXN
Net income +2.7%/yr
FY21 334M MXN
FY22 −1.2B MXN
FY23 177M MXN
FY24 310M MXN
FY25 372M MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Oriental Education & Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EDUN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
TAL Education Group TAL $10.24 $15.60 +52%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.45 $41.45 +14%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹131.59 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $149.00 $152.01 +2%
Covista Inc CVSA $116.22 $135.45 +17%
Stride, Inc LRN $83.39 $139.45 +67%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.33 $21.35 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $84.18 $105.48 +25%
McGraw Hill, Inc MH $9.70 $4.06 -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 897.37 MXN versus a price of 966.48 MXN, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of EDUN?
Our model-based fair value for New Oriental Education & Technology Group is 897.37 MXN (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 966.48 MXN.
What is the quality score of EDUN?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDUN)?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.4B MXN (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EDUN?
The net profit margin of New Oriental Education & Technology Group is about 7.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does New Oriental Education & Technology Group pay a dividend?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.12% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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