1451 (1451) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$202M

1 1451 1451 · HK

PriceHK$1.01

Fair ValueHK$2.20

Upside+117.8%

Quality64/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$1.65 – HK$2.76

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −14.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.8114 – HK$1.63 · fair‑value band HK$1.65 – HK$2.76 · the HK$1.01 price screens below the HK$2.20 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1451 (1451) currently trades at HK$1.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.20 — implying the stock looks roughly 117.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1451 generated revenue of HK$292M at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue declined 54.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$170M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$292M

Revenue growth (YoY) -54.5%

Net margin 9.1%

Return on equity 12.8%

Free cash flow HK$104M FY2025

P/E ratio 7.6

More key figures

Operating margin 11.4%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0800

EPS growth (YoY) -64.5%

Net cash HK$170M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1451 reported revenue of HK$292M in FY2025 versus HK$294M in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$26.5M in FY2025, compounding +14.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −0.2%/yr

FY21 HK$294M

FY22 HK$260M

FY23 HK$234M

FY24 HK$421M

FY25 HK$292M

Net income +14.5%/yr

FY21 HK$15.4M

FY22 HK$13.8M

FY23 HK$16.3M

FY24 HK$49.4M

FY25 HK$26.5M

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Similar stocks

6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF	$44.20	$27.40	-38%
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW	$41.28	$40.96	-1%
Packaging Corporation PKG	$234.03	$123.93	-47%
International Paper Company IP	$31.85	$48.43	+52%
Amcor plc AMCR	$37.64	$18.34	-51%
Ball Corporation B1LL34	R$146.83	R$18.44	-87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1451 (1451) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.20 versus a price of HK$1.01 — about +118% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1451?

Our model-based fair value for 1451 is HK$2.20 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.01.

What is the quality score of 1451?

1451 has a Quality Score of 64/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1451 (1451)?

1451 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$292M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1451?

The net profit margin of 1451 is about 9.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.