Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd TWD 20.56, price TWD 17.10, upside +20.2%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Nien Hsing Textile Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells denim and denim garments in Taiwan, the Americas, Africa, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers denim fabrics; jean apparel; and ring-spun yarn for denim, knits, wovens, and towels. It also engages in investment activities. Nien Hsing Textile Co., Ltd.
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Nien Hsing Textile Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells denim and denim garments in Taiwan, the Americas, Africa, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers denim fabrics; jean apparel; and ring-spun yarn for denim, knits, wovens, and towels. It also engages in investment activities. Nien Hsing Textile Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451) currently trades at 17.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.56 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 29.29 TWD per share, and 8 of the 15 models we run sit above the 17.10 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 6.77 TWD, and 7 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 13.57 TWD (bear) to 20.56 TWD (bull), the price of 17.10 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd reported revenue of 6.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 8.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was 349M TWD in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.4B TWD (≈ $106M) · P/E ratio 9.7 · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) 1.76 TWD · Dividend yield 5.8% · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 20%, 1451 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 13.57 TWDFair Value 20.56 TWDBull 20.56 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.5580 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8% vs −7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 344 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+20% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1451
Frequently asked questions
Is Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.56 TWD versus a price of 17.10 TWD, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1451?
Our model-based fair value for Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is 20.56 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1451?
Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 20.56 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.57 TWD, optimistic scenario 20.56 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 20.56 TWD, about +20% upside versus a price of 17.10 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 13.57 TWD, optimistic scenario 20.56 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd it is 20.56 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 17.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1451 trades below its calculated fair value: price 17.10 TWD, fair value 20.56 TWD, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1451?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (20.56 TWD). For Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd the two are 3.46 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd worth?
The market values Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd at about 3.4B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 17.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 20.56 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1451?
Our models span a range for Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd: cautious scenario 13.57 TWD, base 20.56 TWD, optimistic 20.56 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 17.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1451?
Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 20.56 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1451 from its 52-week high?
Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd trades at 17.10 TWD, about 4% below its 52-week high of 17.75 TWD and 9% above the low of 15.71 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 20.56 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 17.10 TWD, calculated fair value 20.56 TWD (+20%), Quality Score 55/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1451 calculated?
We run Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 20.56 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd currently trades 20 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 17.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 20.56 TWD, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd right now?
Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451) come from?
Earnings per share at Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd grew −8.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −7.4 %, EBIT margin −15.0 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +15.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
The market capitalisation of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is 3.4B TWD (≈ $106M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is 0.54 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
Earnings per share at Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd are 1.76 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
The dividend yield of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is 5.8% (payout 56.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
The net margin of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is 5.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
The operating margin of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
Revenue at Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is growing +13.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451)?
Earnings per share at Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd are growing −65.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451) generate?
The free cash flow of Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd is −25.8M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd (1451) hold?
Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 825M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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