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1786 (1786) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$1.1B

1 1786 1786 · HK
PriceHK$0.7000
Fair ValueHK$2.29
Upside+227.1%
Quality53/100
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Evidence: High Range HK$1.72 – HK$2.87

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$1.03 HK$0.6900 Fair Value HK$2.29 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.6900 – HK$1.03 · fair‑value band HK$1.72 – HK$2.87 · the HK$0.7000 price screens below the HK$2.29 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1786 (1786) currently trades at HK$0.7000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.29 — implying the stock looks roughly 227.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1786 generated revenue of HK$3.4B at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 22.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$890M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.0%
Net margin 4.2%
Return on equity 2.4%
Free cash flow HK$41.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.0
More key figures
Operating margin 4.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.4%
Net cash HK$890M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1786 reported revenue of HK$3.4B in FY2025 versus HK$2.2B in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$144M in FY2025, compounding +30.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +12.0%/yr
FY21 HK$2.2B
FY22 HK$2.8B
FY23 HK$3.1B
FY24 HK$3.1B
FY25 HK$3.4B
Net income +30.0%/yr
FY21 HK$50.4M
FY22 HK$116M
FY23 HK$145M
FY24 HK$128M
FY25 HK$144M

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Similar stocks

6 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UNP UNP 4,617 MXN 2,048 MXN -56%
Union Pacific Corporation UPAC34 R$336.50 R$34.11 -90%
CSX Corporation CSX $46.41 $9.49 -80%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $85.29 $49.10 -42%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI $114.13 $92.95 -19%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $313.45 $81.84 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1786 (1786) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.29 versus a price of HK$0.7000 — about +227% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1786?
Our model-based fair value for 1786 is HK$2.29 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.7000.
What is the quality score of 1786?
1786 has a Quality Score of 53/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 1786 (1786)?
1786 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1786?
The net profit margin of 1786 is about 4.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 1786 pay a dividend?
1786 currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.28% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.