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China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd HK$0.31, price HK$0.16, upside +90.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Technology · HK · ISIN KYG2161M1050

CI Thin data Sep 27, 2026

China ITS Holdings Co Ltd

1900 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.3078 · Strongly undervalued (+90.0%)

✓Quality 60/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.6 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 7.6% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (10/14)

!Narrow moat 28/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 23 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear HK$0.2303 to bull HK$0.3830 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 60/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0983 – HK$0.4100 · fair‑value band HK$0.2303 – HK$0.3830 · the HK$0.1620 price screens below the HK$0.3078 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

China ITS (Holdings) Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, provides products, specialized solutions, and services related to infrastructure technology in railway and electric power sectors in the People's Republic of China, Myanmar, Malaysia, and Hungary. It operates through Railway Business, Energy Business, and Aviation Business segments. The Railway Business segment offers specialized solutions, including railway communication products and energy-base products; and maintenance, network optimization and network planning, and technical consulting services for the products related to the communication system for railway customers. The Energy Business segment is involved in the provision of products and specialized solutions related to electric power equipment, such as power transmission and transformation equipment, and power generation equipment for customers in the electric power infrastructure construction area; and value-added operation and services related to power plant investment, construction and operation, as well as energy conservation services. The Aviation Business segment provides software technology development and technical consulting services for the aviation industry, manufacturing industry, and government. It also engages in the commercial properties leasing; power generation business; and research and development of civil aviation related communication and information/electromechanical engineering technologies. In addition, the company provides technology specialized services and sale of electronics, as well as communications and surveillance specialized solutions and value-added operation and services; Intelligent Transportation system service; purchasing service for group companies; IT consulting, solutions, and outsourcing services; and low-altitude intelligent internet connectivity services. China ITS (Holdings) Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900) currently trades at HK$0.1620, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3078, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$1.59 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.1620 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.2000, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2303 (bear) to HK$0.3830 (bull), the price of HK$0.1620 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

China ITS Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 904M CNY in FY2025 versus 740M CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was 68.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −2.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$365M (≈ $46.5M) · P/E ratio 4.2 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.2100 · Dividend yield 9.7% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at 90%, 1900 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2303 Fair Value HK$0.3078 Bull HK$0.3830

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.1559 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$1.47 HK$1.86 HK$2.55 81

Growth DCF HK$1.52 HK$1.89 HK$2.50 80

Owner Earnings HK$0.9000 HK$1.08 HK$1.40 78

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$1.47 HK$1.86 HK$2.55 81

Owner Earnings HK$0.9000 HK$1.08 HK$1.40 78

5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.18 HK$1.46 HK$1.87 74

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.58 HK$2.14 HK$2.89 76

5Y P/E Exit HK$1.27 HK$1.62 HK$2.03 72

10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.28 HK$1.49 HK$1.72 68

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.53 HK$1.90 HK$2.31 70

10Y P/E Exit HK$1.35 HK$1.59 HK$1.81 65

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.2700 HK$0.3300 HK$0.3700 67

EPV HK$0.9800 HK$1.07 HK$1.15 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$0.1800 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 69

DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1800 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2800 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$0.8400 HK$1.12 HK$1.40 63

P/S Multiple HK$0.5100 HK$0.6800 HK$0.8500 58

P/B Multiple HK$0.5100 HK$0.6800 HK$0.8500 55

EV/EBIT HK$1.65 HK$2.06 HK$2.48 66

EV/EBITDA HK$1.85 HK$2.33 HK$2.81 67

EV/Revenue HK$1.04 HK$1.31 HK$1.58 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.5300 HK$0.7100 HK$1.06 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$1.52 HK$1.89 HK$2.50 80

Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.18 HK$1.49 HK$1.87 74

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$0.7900 HK$0.7900 HK$0.8100 76

ROIC Compounder HK$0.9800 HK$1.07 HK$1.17 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.5900 HK$0.8400 HK$1.09 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 25

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 38

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 87

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 67

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 84

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 6

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 1

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 75

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Revenue growth 1 year

+10.3%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+8.2%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−0.6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.0% a year

Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+1.5%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.

+65.2%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+55.5%

Dividend (yield on the price)9.7%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.4% vs −1.3%, steady

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 13%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.6%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 487 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 60 · Above median

Fair Value upside +90.0% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 5.6% · Below median

Return on assets 2.5% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 7.6% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) −4.6% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −16.0% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 9.7% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.2× · Cheapest 25%

P/B 0.17× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 0.2× · Cheapest 25%

PEG 0.34× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 47

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 30

PAST (return on equity)23 · sector 35

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM	$225.51	$186.56	−17%
Accenture plc ACN	$176.11	$305.06	+73%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS	₹2,082	₹2,993	+44%
Infosys Limited INFY	₹1,000	₹1,689	+69%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH	₹1,258	₹1,926	+53%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH	$57.33	$138.62	+142%
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR	$163.77	$159.88	−2%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS	$35.41	$32.72	−8%
Wipro Limited WIPRO	₹164.02	₹287.86	+76%
CDW Corporation CDW	$135.43	$165.54	+22%

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China ITS Holdings Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.3078 +47%Fair Value
Calculator →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China ITS Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1900

Frequently asked questions

Is China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3078 versus a price of HK$0.1620, about +90% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 1900?

Our model-based fair value for China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.3078 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1620.

What is the quality score of 1900?

China ITS Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3078 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2303, optimistic scenario HK$0.3830. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the China ITS Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.3078, about +90% upside versus a price of HK$0.1620 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2303, optimistic scenario HK$0.3830. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

China ITS Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 928M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

Does China ITS Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?

China ITS Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China ITS Holdings Co Ltd it is HK$0.3078 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1620. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is China ITS Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 1900 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1620, fair value HK$0.3078, a gap of about +90% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 1900?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1620); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3078). For China ITS Holdings Co Ltd the two are HK$0.1458 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is China ITS Holdings Co Ltd worth?

The market values China ITS Holdings Co Ltd at about HK$365M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1620; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3078 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1900?

Our models span a range for China ITS Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2303, base HK$0.3078, optimistic HK$0.3830 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1620). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 1900?

China ITS Holdings Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.3078 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.3.

What is the PEG ratio of 1900?

The PEG ratio of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is 0.34 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.

How solid is the balance sheet of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

Balance-sheet figures for China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 5.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 1900 from its 52-week high?

China ITS Holdings Co Ltd trades at HK$0.1620, about 60% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4100 and 5% above the low of HK$0.1550 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3078 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to China ITS Holdings Co Ltd?

From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is China ITS Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1620, calculated fair value HK$0.3078 (+90%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 1900 calculated?

We run China ITS Holdings Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3078, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China ITS Holdings Co Ltd currently trades 90 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was HK$0.1620. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3078, about +90% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with China ITS Holdings Co Ltd right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2303). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

The market capitalisation of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is HK$365M (≈ $46.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

The price-to-sales ratio of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is 0.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

Earnings per share at China ITS Holdings Co Ltd are HK$0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

The dividend yield of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is 9.7% (payout 7.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

The net margin of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is 7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

The return on equity (ROE) of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

The operating margin of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

Revenue at China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is growing −16.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900)?

Earnings per share at China ITS Holdings Co Ltd are growing −38.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900) generate?

The free cash flow of China ITS Holdings Co Ltd is 189M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does China ITS Holdings Co Ltd (1900) hold?

China ITS Holdings Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 456M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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