2451 (2451) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$4.8B

2 2451 2451 · HK

PriceHK$12.34

Fair ValueHK$8.52

Upside-31.0%

Quality57/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$6.39 – HK$10.65

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +15.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$7.83 – HK$16.50 · fair‑value band HK$6.39 – HK$10.65 · the HK$12.34 price screens above the HK$8.52 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2451 (2451) currently trades at HK$12.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.52 — implying the stock looks roughly 31.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 2451 generated revenue of HK$5.9B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at HK$1.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$5.9B

Revenue growth (YoY) +10.8%

Net margin 3.0%

Return on equity 11.0%

Free cash flow HK$218M FY2025

P/E ratio 24.2

More key figures

Operating margin 1.7%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.2800

EPS growth (YoY) +24.8%

Net debt HK$1.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2451 reported revenue of HK$5.8B in FY2025 versus HK$3.4B in FY2021, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$171M in FY2025, compounding +30.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +13.9%/yr

FY21 HK$3.4B

FY22 HK$4.8B

FY23 HK$5.1B

FY24 HK$5.1B

FY25 HK$5.8B

Net income +30.3%/yr

FY21 HK$59.3M

FY22 HK$118M

FY23 HK$146M

FY24 HK$117M

FY25 HK$171M

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2451 (2451) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.52 versus a price of HK$12.34 — about −31% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 2451?

Our model-based fair value for 2451 is HK$8.52 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$12.34.

What is the quality score of 2451?

2451 has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 2451 (2451)?

2451 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 2451?

The net profit margin of 2451 is about 3.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.